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Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Donald R. MacGorman, Michael I. Biggerstaff, Sean Waugh, J. T. Pilkey, M. A. Uman, D. M. Jordan, T. Ngin, W. R. Gamerota, Gordon D. Carrie, P. Hyland,

Abstract This study examines coordinated storm and triggered lightning observations made in July–August 2013 at the International Center for Lightning Research and Testing to determine why triggered flashes in Florida typically transition from an upward vertical channel entering the cloud to horizontal structure near the storm's melting level. Data from a balloon‐borne electric field meter, a mobile 5 cm wavelength radar, and a small‐baseline VHF Lightning Mapping Array acquired during a period ...

Tópico(s): Electrical Fault Detection and Protection

2015 - American Geophysical Union | Geophysical Research Letters

Revisão Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Matt Aldag, Regina C. Armstrong, Faris A. Bandak, Patrick S.F. Bellgowan, Timothy Bentley, Sean Biggerstaff, Katrina Caravelli, Joan L. Cmarik, Alicia T. Crowder, Thomas J. DeGraba, Travis A. Dittmer, Richard G. Ellenbogen, Colin Greene, Raj K. Gupta, Ramona Hicks, Stuart W. Hoffman, Robert C. Latta, Michael J. Leggieri, Donald W. Marion, Robert A. Mazzoli, Michael McCrea, John C. O’Donnell, Mark D. Packer, James B. Petro, Todd E. Rasmussen, Wendy Sammons-Jackson, Richard Shoge, Victoria Tepe, Ladd A. Tremaine, James Q. Zheng,

The United States Department of Defense Blast Injury Research Program Coordinating Office organized the 2015 International State-of-the-Science meeting to explore links between blast-related head injury and the development of chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE). Before the meeting, the planning committee examined articles published between 2005 and October 2015 and prepared this literature review, which summarized broadly CTE research and addressed questions about the pathophysiological basis ...

Tópico(s): Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation

2017 - Mary Ann Liebert, Inc. | Journal of Neurotrauma

Artigo Revisado por pares

Sean Biggerstaff, Martha A. Mann,

Pregnant Rockland-Swiss (R-S) albino mice consumed significantly more food and water and gained significantly more weight between gestation days 8–17 compared to virgin R-S females maintained in isolation for a comparable period. Postpartum (days 1–10) patterns of ingestion and weight change among thelectomized (nipple-deprived) mouse dams provided with young did not differ significantly from those of virgin animals without young. Sham- and nonoperated dams received suckling stimulation from young ...

Tópico(s): Regulation of Appetite and Obesity

1992 - Elsevier BV | Physiology & Behavior

Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

A. Addison Alford, Michael I. Biggerstaff, Gordon D. Carrie, John L. Schroeder, Brian D. Hirth, Sean Waugh,

Abstract A mobile Shared Mobile Atmospheric Research and Teaching (SMART) radar was deployed in Hurricane Harvey and coordinated with the Corpus Christi, TX, WSR‐88D radar to retrieve airflow during landfall. Aerodynamic surface roughness estimates and a logarithmic wind profile assumption were used to project the 500‐m radar‐derived maximum wind field to near the surface. The logarithmic wind assumption was justified using radiosonde soundings taken within the storm, while the radar wind estimates ...

Tópico(s): Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing

2018 - American Geophysical Union | Geophysical Research Letters

Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Pedro L. Fernández-Cabán, A. Addison Alford, M.J. Bell, Michael I. Biggerstaff, Gordon D. Carrie, Brian D. Hirth, Karen Kosiba, Brian M. Phillips, John L. Schroeder, Sean Waugh, Eric Williford, Joshua Wurman, Forrest J. Masters,

Abstract While Hurricane Harvey will best be remembered for record rainfall that led to widespread flooding in southeastern Texas and western Louisiana, the storm also produced some of the most extreme wind speeds ever to be captured by an adaptive mesonet at landfall. This paper describes the unique tools and the strategy used by the Digital Hurricane Consortium (DHC), an ad hoc group of atmospheric scientists and wind engineers, to intercept and collect high-resolution measurements of Harvey’s ...

Tópico(s): Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations

2018 - American Meteorological Society | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Rebecca K. Borchering, Luke C. Mullany, Emily Howerton, Matteo Chinazzi, Claire P. Smith, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G Reich, Lucie Contamin, John Levander, Jessica Kerr, Jeremy U. Espino, Harry Hochheiser, Kaitlin Lovett, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Juan Dent Hulse, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C. Lee, Alison L. Hill, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srini Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Henning Mortveit, Amanda Wilson, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean‐Claude Thill, Marta Galanti, Teresa K. Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Guido España, Sean Cavany, Sean M. Moore, T. Alex Perkins, Jessica M. Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Michael A. Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Katriona Shea, Shaun Truelove, Michael C. Runge, Cécile Viboud, Justin Lessler,

The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub convened nine modeling teams to project the impact of expanding SARS-CoV-2 vaccination to children aged 5-11 years on COVID-19 burden and resilience against variant strains.Teams contributed state- and national-level weekly projections of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in the United States from September 12, 2021 to March 12, 2022. Four scenarios covered all combinations of 1) vaccination (or not) of children aged 5-11 years (starting November 1, 2021), and ...

Tópico(s): COVID-19 epidemiological studies

2022 - Elsevier BV | The Lancet Regional Health - Americas

Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Noah S. Brauer, A. Addison Alford, Sean Waugh, Michael I. Biggerstaff, Gordon D. Carrie, Pierre‐Emmanuel Kirstetter, Jeffrey B. Basara, Daniel T. Dawson, Kimberly L. Elmore, Jeffrey A. Stevenson, Robert W. Moore,

Abstract Hurricane Laura was the strongest hurricane to make landfall in Louisiana since 1969 with maximum sustained winds of 130 knots. One University of Oklahoma Shared Atmospheric Mobile and Teaching Polarmetric Radar (SR1‐P), and four portable in situ precipitation stations (PIPSs) equipped with parsivel disdrometers were spatially and temporally collocated with two NASA Global Precipitation Measurement Mission Dual‐frequency Precipitation Radar overpasses. The combined retrieval methods were ...

Tópico(s): Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations

2022 - Wiley | Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Martin P. Bedigian, Raymond O. Estacio, Beckie Jeffers, Sean Biggerstaff, Robert W. Schrier,

ABCD-2V is a prospective, randomized trial comparing the effects of intensive versus moderate BP control on complications of type 2 diabetes using valsartan, an angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB), as the primary antihypertensive agent. We report the insulin, tPA, and PAI-1 levels of the hypertensive cohort at baseline prior to valsartan therapy. Insulin, tPA and PAI-1 levels were above normal values. PAI-1 and tPA levels were inversely correlated with HDL levels (r=−0.242 and −0.195 respectively, p ...

Tópico(s): Pharmacology and Obesity Treatment

2000 - Oxford University Press | American Journal of Hypertension

Artigo Revisado por pares

C. A. Portman, Sean Biggerstaff, David J. Blower, A. D. Chapman,

Tópico(s): Guidance and Control Systems

1997 - SAGE Publishing | Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting

Artigo

Estee Y. Cramer, Yuxin Huang, Yijin Wang, Evan L Ray, Matthew Cornell, Johannes Bracher, Andrea Brennen, Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira, Aaron Gerding, Katie House, Jimeng Sun, Abdul Hannan Kanji, Ayush Khandelwal, Khoa Le, Vidhi Mody, Vrushti Mody, Jarad Niemi, Ariane Stark, Apurv Shah, Nutcha Wattanchit, Martha Zorn, Nicholas G Reich, Tilmann Gneiting, Anja Mühlemann, Youyang Gu, Yixian Chen, Krishna Chintanippu, Viresh Jivane, Ankita Khurana, Ajay Kumar, Anshul Lakhani, Prakhar Mehrotra, Sujitha Pasumarty, Monika Shrivastav, Jialu You, Nayana Bannur, Ayush Deva, Sansiddh Jain, Mihir Kulkarni, Srujana Merugu, Alpan Raval, Siddhant Shingi, Avtansh Tiwari, Jerome White, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Bryan Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Akhil Sai Peddireddy, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Lijing Wang, Maytal Dahan, Spencer J. Fox, Kelly Gaither, Michael Lachmann, Lauren Ancel Meyers, James G. Scott, Mauricio Tec, Spencer Woody, Ajitesh Srivastava, Tianjian Xu, Jeffrey C. Cegan, Ian Dettwiller, William P. England, Matthew W. Farthing, Glover George, Robert H. Hunter, Brandon J. Lafferty, Igor Linkov, Michael L. Mayo, Matthew Parno, Michael A. Rowland, Benjamin D. Trump, Samuel Chen, Stephen V. Faraone, Jonathan Hess, Christopher P. Morley, Asif Salekin, Dongliang Wang, Yanli Zhang‐James, T. M. Baer, Sabrina Corsetti, Marisa C. Eisenberg, Karl Falb, Yitao Huang, Emily T. Martin, Ella McCauley, Robert L. Myers, Tom Schwarz, Graham Gibson, Daniel Sheldon, Liyao Gao, Yi-An Ma, Dongxia Wu, Rose Yu, Xiaoyong Jin, Yuxiang Wang, Xifeng Yan, YangQuan Chen, Lihong Guo, Yanting Zhao, Jinghui Chen, Quanquan Gu, Lingxiao Wang, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Difan Zou, Ishanu Chattopadhyay, Yi Huang, Guoqing Lu, Ruth M. Pfeiffer, T. J. Sumner, Dongdong Wang, Liqiang Wang, Shunpu Zhang, Zihang Zou, Hannah Biegel, J. Lega, Fazle Hussain, Zeina S. Khan, Frank Van Bussel, Steve McConnell, Stephanie Guertin, Christopher Hulme-Lowe, VP Nagraj, Stephen Turner, Benjamı́n Béjar, Christine Choirat, Antoine Flahault, Ekaterina Krymova, Gavin Lee, Elisa Manetti, Kristen Namigai, Guillaume Obozinski, Tao Sun, Dorina Thanou, Xuegang Ban, Yunfeng Shi, Robert Walraven, Qi‐Jun Hong, Axel van de Walle, M. Ben-Nun, Steven Riley, Pete Riley, James Turtle, Duy Cao, Joseph Galasso, Jae H. Cho, A-Reum Jo, David DesRoches, Pedro Forli, Bruce H. Hamory, Ugur Koyluoglu, Christina Kyriakides, Helen Leis, John Milliken, Michael Moloney, James P. Morgan, Ninad Nirgudkar, Gokce Ozcan, Noah Piwonka, Matt Ravi, Chris Schrader, Elizabeth A. Shakhnovich, Daniel M. Siegel, Ryan Spatz, Chris Stiefeling, Barrie Wilkinson, Alexander Wong, Sean Cavany, Guido España, Sean M. Moore, Rachel J. Oidtman, T. Alex Perkins, Julie S. Ivy, María E. Mayorga, Jessica Mele, Erik Rosenstrom, Julie Swann, Andrea Kraus, David Kraus, Jiang Bian, Wei Cao, Zhifeng Gao, Juan Lavista Ferres, Chaozhuo Li, Tie‐Yan Liu, Xing Xie, Shun Zhang, Shun Zheng, Matteo Chinazzi, Alessandro Vespignani, Xinyue Xiong, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Jackie Baek, Vivek F. Farias, Andreea Georgescu, Retsef Levi, Deeksha Sinha, Joshua Wilde, Andrew Zheng, Omar Skali Lami, Amine Bennouna, David Nze Ndong, Georgia Perakis, Divya Singhvi, Ιoannis Spantidakis, Leann Thayaparan, Asterios Tsiourvas, Shane Weisberg, Ali Jadbabaie, Arnab Sarker, Devavrat Shah, Leo Celi, Nicolás Della Penna, Saketh Sundar, Abraham Berlin, Parth D. Gandhi, Thomas McAndrew, Matthew Piriya, Ye Chen, William S. Hlavacek, Yen Ting Lin, Abhishek Mallela, Ely Miller, Jacob Neumann, Richard A. Posner, Russ Wolfinger, Lauren Castro, Geoffrey Fairchild, Isaac Michaud, Dave Osthus, Daniel Wolffram, D. Karlen, Mark J. Panaggio, Matt Kinsey, Luke C. Mullany, Kaitlin Rainwater‐Lovett, Lauren Shin, Katharine Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Michael P. Brenner, Marc Coram, Jessie K. Edwards, Keya Joshi, Ellen R. Klein, Juan Dent Hulse, Kyra H. Grantz, Alison L. Hill, Kathryn Kaminsky, Joshua Kaminsky, Lindsay T. Keegan, Stephen A. Lauer, Elizabeth C. Lee, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Justin Lessler, Hannah R. Meredith, Javier Perez‐Saez, Sam Shah, Claire P. Smith, Shaun Truelove, Josh Wills, Lauren Gardner, Maximilian Marshall, Kristen Nixon, John C. Burant, Jozef Budzinski, Wen-Hao Chiang, George Mohler, Junyi Gao, Lucas M. Glass, Qian Cheng, Justin Romberg, Rakshith Sharma, Jeffrey Spaeder, Jimeng Sun, Cao Xiao, Lei Gao, Zhiling Gu, Myungjin Kim, Xinyi Li, Yueying Wang, Guannan Wang, Li Wang, Shan Yu, Chaman Jain, Sangeeta Bhatia, Pierre Nouvellet, Ryan M Barber, Emmanuela Gaikedu, Simon I Hay, Steve Lim, Chris Murray,

Abstract Academic researchers, government agencies, industry groups, and individuals have produced forecasts at an unprecedented scale during the COVID-19 pandemic. To leverage these forecasts, the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) partnered with an academic research lab at the University of Massachusetts Amherst to create the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub. Launched in April 2020, the Forecast Hub is a dataset with point and probabilistic forecasts of incident cases, incident ...

Nature Portfolio

Artigo

Estee Y. Cramer, Evan L Ray, Velma K. Lopez, Johannes Bracher, Andrea Brennen, Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira, Aaron Gerding, Tilmann Gneiting, Katie House, Yuxin Huang, Jimeng Sun, Abdul Hannan Kanji, Ayush Khandelwal, Khoa Le, Anja Mühlemann, Jarad Niemi, Apurv Shah, Ariane Stark, Yijin Wang, Nutcha Wattanachit, Martha Zorn, Youyang Gu, Sansiddh Jain, Nayana Bannur, Ayush Deva, Mihir Kulkarni, Srujana Merugu, Alpan Raval, Siddhant Shingi, Avtansh Tiwari, Jerome White, Neil F. Abernethy, Spencer Woody, Maytal Dahan, Spencer J. Fox, Kelly Gaither, Michael Lachmann, Lauren Ancel Meyers, James G. Scott, Mauricio Tec, Ajitesh Srivastava, Glover George, Jeffrey C. Cegan, Ian Dettwiller, William P. England, Matthew W. Farthing, Robert H. Hunter, Brandon J. Lafferty, Igor Linkov, Michael L. Mayo, Matthew Parno, Michael A. Rowland, Benjamin D. Trump, Yanli Zhang‐James, Samuel Chen, Stephen V. Faraone, Jonathan Hess, Christopher P. Morley, Asif Salekin, Dongliang Wang, Sabrina Corsetti, T. M. Baer, Marisa C. Eisenberg, Karl Falb, Yitao Huang, Emily T. Martin, Ella McCauley, Robert L. Myers, Tom Schwarz, Daniel Sheldon, Graham Gibson, Rose Yu, Liyao Gao, Yi-An Ma, Dongxia Wu, Xifeng Yan, Xiaoyong Jin, Yu-Xiang Wang, YangQuan Chen, Lihong Guo, Yanting Zhao, Quanquan Gu, Jinghui Chen, Lingxiao Wang, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Difan Zou, Hannah Biegel, J. Lega, Steve McConnell, VP Nagraj, Stephanie Guertin, Christopher Hulme-Lowe, Stephen Turner, Yunfeng Shi, Xuegang Ban, Robert Walraven, Qi‐Jun Hong, Stanley Kong, Axel van de Walle, James Turtle, M. Ben-Nun, Steven Riley, Pete Riley, Ugur Koyluoglu, David DesRoches, Pedro Forli, Bruce H. Hamory, Christina Kyriakides, Helen Leis, John Milliken, Michael Moloney, James Morgan, Ninad Nirgudkar, Gokce Ozcan, Noah Piwonka, Matt Ravi, Chris Schrader, Elizabeth A. Shakhnovich, Daniel M. Siegel, Ryan Spatz, Chris Stiefeling, Barrie Wilkinson, Alexander Wong, Sean Cavany, Guido España, Sean M. Moore, Rachel J. Oidtman, T. Alex Perkins, David Kraus, Andrea Kraus, Zhifeng Gao, Jiang Bian, Wei Cao, Juan Lavista Ferres, Chaozhuo Li, Tie‐Yan Liu, Xing Xie, Shun Zhang, Shun Zheng, Alessandro Vespignani, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Xinyue Xiong, Andrew Zheng, Jackie Baek, Vivek F. Farias, Andreea Georgescu, Retsef Levi, Deeksha Sinha, Joshua Wilde, Georgia Perakis, Mohammed Amine Bennouna, David Nze Ndong, Divya Singhvi, Ιoannis Spantidakis, Leann Thayaparan, Asterios Tsiourvas, Arnab Sarker, Ali Jadbabaie, Devavrat Shah, Nicolás Della Penna, Leo Anthony Celi, Saketh Sundar, Russ Wolfinger, Dave Osthus, Lauren Castro, Geoffrey Fairchild, Isaac Michaud, D. Karlen, Matt Kinsey, Luke C. Mullany, Kaitlin Rainwater‐Lovett, Lauren Shin, Katharine Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Elizabeth C. Lee, Juan Dent, Kyra H. Grantz, Alison L. Hill, Joshua Kaminsky, Kathryn Kaminsky, Lindsay T. Keegan, Stephen A. Lauer, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Justin Lessler, Hannah R. Meredith, Javier Perez‐Saez, Sam Shah, Claire P. Smith, Shaun Truelove, Josh Wills, Maximilian Marshall, Lauren Gardner, Kristen Nixon, John C. Burant, Li Wang, Lei Gao, Zhiling Gu, Myungjin Kim, Xinyi Li, Guannan Wang, Yueying Wang, Shan Yu, Robert C. Reiner, Ryan M Barber, Emmanuela Gakidou, Simon I Hay, Steve Lim, Chris Murray, David M. Pigott, Heidi Gurung, Prasith Baccam, Steven A. Stage, Bradley T. Suchoski, B. Aditya Prakash, Bijaya Adhikari, Jiaming Cui, Alexander Rodríguez, Anika Tabassum, Jiajia Xie, Pınar Keskinocak, John Asplund, Arden Baxter, Buse Eylul Oruc, Nicoleta Serban, Sercan Ö. Arık, Mike Dusenberry, Arkady Epshteyn, Elli Kanal, Long Tan Le, Chun‐Liang Li, Tomas Pfister, Dario Sava, Rajarishi Sinha, Thomas C. Tsai, Nathanael C. Yoder, Jinsung Yoon, Leyou Zhang, Sam Abbott, Nikos I Bosse, Sebastian Funk, Joel Hellewell, Sophie Meakin, Katharine Sherratt, Mingyuan Zhou, Rahi Kalantari, Teresa K. Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Michael Lingzhi Li, Dimitris Bertsimas, Omar Skali Lami, Soni Saksham, Hamza Tazi Bouardi, Turgay Ayer, Madeline Adee, Jagpreet Chhatwal, Özden O. Dalgıç, Mary A. Ladd, Benjamin P. Linas, Peter P. Mueller, Jade Xiao, Yuanjia Wang, Qinxia Wang, Shanghong Xie, Donglin Zeng, Alden Green, Jacob Bien, Logan Brooks, Addison J. Hu, Maria Jahja, Daniel J. McDonald, Balasubramanian Narasimhan, Collin A. Politsch, Samyak Rajanala, Aaron Rumack, Noah Simon, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Rob Tibshirani, Valérie Ventura, Larry Wasserman, Eamon B. O’Dea, John M. Drake, Robert R. Pagano, Ngoc Quoc Tran, Lam Si Tung Ho, Huong Huynh, Jo Walker, Rachel B. Slayton, Michael A. Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Nicholas G Reich,

Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific modeling community and both the general public and decision-makers. Forecasting models provide specific, quantitative, and evaluable predictions that inform short-term decisions such as healthcare staffing needs, school closures, and allocation of medical supplies. Starting in April 2020, the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub ( ...

National Academy of Sciences

Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Luke C. Mullany, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G Reich, Samantha J. Bents, Rebecca K. Borchering, Sung-mok Jung, Sara L. Loo, Claire P. Smith, John Levander, Jessica Kerr, Jeremy U. Espino, Willem G. van Panhuis, Harry Hochheiser, Marta Galanti, Teresa K. Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Kaitlin Rainwater‐Lovett, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Joshua Kaminsky, Juan Dent, Elizabeth C. Lee, Clifton McKee, Alison L. Hill, D. Karlen, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Erik Rosenstrom, Julie S. Ivy, María E. Mayorga, Julie Swann, Guido España, Sean Cavany, Sean M. Moore, T. Alex Perkins, Thomas J. Hladish, Alexander N. Pillai, Kok Ben Toh, Ira M. Longini, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean‐Claude Thill, Anass Bouchnita, Kaiming Bi, Michael Lachmann, Spencer J. Fox, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srini Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Henning Mortveit, Amanda Wilson, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Betsy L. Cadwell, Jessica M. Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Michael A. Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Shaun Truelove, Michael C. Runge, Katriona Shea, Cécile Viboud, Justin Lessler,

Our ability to forecast epidemics far into the future is constrained by the many complexities of disease systems. Realistic longer-term projections may, however, be possible under well-defined scenarios that specify the future state of critical epidemic drivers. Since December 2020, the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub (SMH) has convened multiple modeling teams to make months ahead projections of SARS-CoV-2 burden, totaling nearly 1.8 million national and state-level projections. Here, we find ...

Tópico(s): Agricultural risk and resilience

2023 - Nature Portfolio | Nature Communications

Artigo Acesso aberto Brasil Produção Nacional Revisado por pares

Michael A. Johansson, Karyn M. Apfeldorf, Scott Dobson, Jason Devita, Anna L. Buczak, Benjamin Baugher, Linda Moniz, Thomas Bagley, Steven M. Babin, Erhan Guven, Teresa K. Yamana, Jeffrey Shaman, Terry Moschou, Nick Lothian, Aaron Lane, Grant Osborne, Gao Jiang, Logan Brooks, David Farrow, Sangwon Hyun, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Roni Rosenfeld, Justin Lessler, Nicholas G Reich, Derek A. T. Cummings, Stephen A. Lauer, Sean M. Moore, Hannah E. Clapham, Rachel Lowe, Trevor Bailey, Markel García-Díez, Marília Sá Carvalho, Xavier Rodó, Tridip Sardar, Richard Paúl, Evan L Ray, Krzysztof Sakrejda, Alexandria Brown, Xi Meng, Osonde Osoba, Raffaele Vardavas, David Manheim, Melinda Moore, Dhananjai M. Rao, Travis C. Porco, Sarah F. Ackley, Fengchen Liu, Lee Worden, Matteo Convertino, Yang Liu, Abraham Reddy, Eloy Ortiz, Jorge Rivero, Humberto Brito, Alicia Juarrero, Leah R. Johnson, Robert B. Gramacy, Jeremy M. Cohen, Erin A. Mordecai, Courtney C. Murdock, Jason R. Rohr, Sadie J. Ryan, Anna M. Stewart‐Ibarra, Daniel P. Weikel, Antarpreet Jutla, Rakibul Khan, Marissa Poultney, Rita R. Colwell, Brenda Rivera-García, Christopher M. Barker, Jesse E. Bell, Matthew Biggerstaff, David L. Swerdlow, Luis Mier-y-Terán-Romero, Brett M. Forshey, J. Trtanj, Jason Asher, Matthew Clay, Harold S. Margolis, Andrew M. Hebbeler, Dylan B. George, Jean-Paul Chrétien,

A wide range of research has promised new tools for forecasting infectious disease dynamics, but little of that research is currently being applied in practice, because tools do not address key public health needs, do not produce probabilistic forecasts, have not been evaluated on external data, or do not provide sufficient forecast skill to be useful. We developed an open collaborative forecasting challenge to assess probabilistic forecasts for seasonal epidemics of dengue, a major global public ...

Tópico(s): Viral Infections and Vectors

2019 - National Academy of Sciences | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Katriona Shea, Rebecca K. Borchering, William J. M. Probert, Emily Howerton, Tiffany L. Bogich, Shou‐Li Li, Willem G. van Panhuis, Cécile Viboud, Ricardo Águas, Artur Belov, Sanjana Bhargava, Sean Cavany, Joshua C. Chang, Cynthia Chen, Jinghui Chen, Shi Chen, YangQuan Chen, Lauren M. Childs, Carson C. Chow, Isabel Crooker, Sara Y. Del Valle, Guido España, Geoffrey Fairchild, Richard C. Gerkin, Timothy C. Germann, Quanquan Gu, Xiangyang Guan, Lihong Guo, Gregory R. Hart, Thomas J. Hladish, Nathaniel Hupert, Daniel Janies, Cliff C. Kerr, Daniel J. Klein, Eili Klein, Gary Lin, Carrie A. Manore, Lauren Ancel Meyers, John E. Mittler, Kunpeng Mu, Rafael C. Núñez, Rachel J. Oidtman, Remy Pasco, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Rajib Paul, Carl A. B. Pearson, Dianela Perdomo, T. Alex Perkins, Kelly Pierce, Alexander N. Pillai, Rosalyn Rael, Katherine Rosenfeld, Chrysm Watson Ross, Julie A. Spencer, Arlin Stoltzfus, Kok Ben Toh, Shashaank Vattikuti, Alessandro Vespignani, Lingxiao Wang, Lisa J. White, Pan Xu, Yupeng Yang, Osman N. Yoğurtçu, Weitong Zhang, Yanting Zhao, Difan Zou, Matthew J. Ferrari, David J. Pannell, Michael J. Tildesley, Jack Seifarth, Elyse Johnson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Michael A. Johansson, Rachel B. Slayton, John Levander, Jeff Stazer, Jessica Kerr, Michael C. Runge,

Policymakers must make management decisions despite incomplete knowledge and conflicting model projections. Little guidance exists for the rapid, representative, and unbiased collection of policy-relevant scientific input from independent modeling teams. Integrating approaches from decision analysis, expert judgment, and model aggregation, we convened multiple modeling teams to evaluate COVID-19 reopening strategies for a mid-sized United States county early in the pandemic. Projections from seventeen ...

Tópico(s): Data-Driven Disease Surveillance

2023 - National Academy of Sciences | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Artigo Revisado por pares

A. Addison Alford, Benjamin A. Schenkel, Samuel Hernández, Jun A. Zhang, Michael I. Biggerstaff, Emily B. Blumenauer, Thea N. Sandmæl, Sean Waugh,

Abstract Supercells in landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) often produce tornadoes within 50 km of the coastline. The prevalence of TC tornadoes near the coast is not explained by the synoptic environments of the TC, suggesting a mesoscale influence is likely. Past case studies point to thermodynamic contrasts between ocean and land or convergence along the coast as a possible mechanism for enhancing supercell mesocyclones and storm intensity. This study augments past work by examining the changes ...

Tópico(s): Radio Wave Propagation Studies

2024 - American Meteorological Society | Monthly Weather Review

Artigo Acesso aberto Revisado por pares

Karen Kosiba, Anthony W. Lyza, Robert J. Trapp, Erik N. Rasmussen, Matthew D. Parker, Michael I. Biggerstaff, Stephen W. Nesbitt, Christopher C. Weiss, Joshua Wurman, Kevin R. Knupp, Brice E. Coffer, Vanna C. Chmielewski, Daniel T. Dawson, Eric C. Bruning, Tyler Bell, Michael C. Coniglio, Todd A. Murphy, Michael M. French, Leanne Blind-Doskocil, Anthony E. Reinhart, Edward A. Wolff, Morgan E. Schneider, Miranda Silcott, Elizabeth Smith, Joshua Aikins, Melissa Wagner, Paul Robinson, James M. Wilczak, Trevor White, Madeline R. Diedrichsen, David M. Bodine, Matthew R. Kumjian, Sean Waugh, A. Addison Alford, Kim Elmore, Pavlos Kollias, David D. Turner,

Abstract Quasi-linear convective systems (QLCSs) are responsible for approximately a quarter of all tornado events in the United States, but no field campaigns have focused specifically on collecting data to understand QLCS tornadogenesis. The Propagation, Evolution, and Rotation in Linear Storms (PERiLS) project was the first observational study of tornadoes associated with QLCSs ever undertaken. Participants were drawn from more than 10 universities, laboratories, and institutes, with over 100 students ...

Tópico(s): Climate variability and models

2024 - American Meteorological Society | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society