CHANGES IN THE LEVEL OF THE CASPIAN SEA AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FORECASTING THEM
1988; Taylor & Francis; Volume: 29; Issue: 6 Linguagem: Inglês
10.1080/00385417.1988.10640734
ISSN2377-7931
AutoresAleksey N. Kosarev, R. E. Makarova,
Tópico(s)Marine and environmental studies
ResumoA second paper devoted to problems of predicting the future level of the Caspian Sea attempts, as did the first, to discount overly simplistic explanations for its nearly century-long decline and recent slight rise. Long-term climatic changes within the drainage basin of the Caspian and the resultant change in discharge of tributary rivers are proposed as the basic mechanism controlling sea level fluctuations and not, as argued in the popular press, tectonic movements, groundwater discharge variations, or the damming of the Kara-Bogaz-Gol. Various models for predicting future levels are compared, although no specific forecasts are made (translated by Andrew R. Bond).
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