Produção Nacional
How Significant is Africa's Demographic Dividend for its Future Growth and Poverty Reduction?
2014; Linguagem: Inglês
10.1596/1813-9450-7134
ISSN1813-9450
AutoresS. Amer Ahmed, Márcio Cruz, Delfin S. Go, Maryla Maliszewska, Israel Osorio‐Rodarte,
Tópico(s)Income, Poverty, and Inequality
ResumoNo AccessPolicy Research Working Papers2 Feb 2015How Significant is Africa's Demographic Dividend for its Future Growth and Poverty Reduction?Authors/Editors: S. Amer Ahmed, Marcio Cruz, Delfin S. Go, Maryla Maliszewska, and Israel Osorio-RodarteS. Amer Ahmed, Marcio Cruz, Delfin S. Go, Maryla Maliszewska, and Israel Osorio-Rodartehttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-7134SectionsAboutPDF (1.6 MB) ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack Citations ShareFacebookTwitterLinked In Abstract: Africa will be undergoing substantial demographic changes in the coming decades with the rising working age share of its population. The opportunity of African countries to convert these changes into demographic dividends for growth and poverty reduction will depend on several factors. The outlook will likely be good if African countries can continue the gains already made under better institutions and policies, particularly those affecting the productivity of labor, such as educational outcomes. If African countries can continue to build on the hard-won development gains, the demographic dividend could account for 11 to 15 percent of gross domestic product volume growth by 2030, while accounting for 40 to 60 million fewer poor in 2030. The gains can become much more substantial with even better educational outcomes that allow African countries to catch up to other developing countries. If the skill share of Africa's labor supply doubles because of improvements in educational attainment, from 25 to about 50 percent between 2011 and 30, then the demographic dividends can expand the regional economy additionally by 22 percent by 2030 relative to the base case and reduce poverty by an additional 51 million people. Previous bookNext book FiguresreferencesRecommendeddetailsCited byDevelopment of the Demographic Dividend Effort Index, a novel tool to measure existing efforts to create a favourable environment to harness a demographic dividend: results from an experts' survey from six sub-Saharan African countriesBMJ Open, Vol.13, No.323 March 2023The impact of the demographic transition on poverty reduction in Central AsiaUntapping FOCAC higher education scholarships for Africa's human capital development: lessons from haiguiChina International Strategy Review, Vol.3, No.18 July 2021Generating and capitalizing on the demographic dividend potential in sub-Saharan Africa: a conceptual framework from a systematic literature reviewGates Open Research, Vol.425 September 2020Structural change in EthiopiaDevelopment Policy Review, Vol.36, No.S115 November 2017Migrating with Special Needs? Projections of Flows of Migrant Women with Female Genital Mutilation/Cutting Toward Europe 2016–2030European Journal of Population, Vol.33, No.416 May 2017The Challenges Posed by Demographic Change in sub-Saharan Africa: A Concise OverviewPopulation and Development Review, Vol.436 October 2016Co-movement of Africa's equity markets: Regional and global analysis in the frequency–time domainsPhysica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Vol.468The Future of Social Protection in a Borderless Africa: Social Innovation for the Management of Risk and Uncertainty amongst Informal Africa Migrants.Proceedings of the African Futures Conference, Vol.1, No.118 August 2017Poverty and Shared Prosperity Implications of Deep Integration in Eastern and Southern Africa6 June 2016 View Published: December 2014 Copyright & Permissions KeywordsDEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDENDGROWTHPOVERTY PDF DownloadLoading ...
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