Variants of uncertainty
1982; Cambridge University Press; Linguagem: Inglês
10.1017/cbo9780511809477.036
AutoresDaniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky,
Tópico(s)Psychology of Moral and Emotional Judgment
ResumoAnalyses of uncertainty in philosophy, statistics, and decision theory commonly treat all forms of uncertainty in terms of a single dimension of probability or degree of belief. Recent psychological studies of judgment under uncertainty have often followed this tradition and have focused on the correspondence of intuitive judgments to the standard logic of probability (Einhorn & Hogarth, 1981; Nisbett & Ross, 1980; Slovic, Fischhoff, & Lichtenstein, 1977; Chapter 34). A comprehensive psychological perspective on uncertainty, however, reveals a variety of processes and experiences, which include such basic mechanisms as habituation to repeated stimulation in a single neuron and such complex activities as the evaluation of scientific hypotheses.
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