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The logic of failure

1990; Royal Society; Volume: 327; Issue: 1241 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1098/rstb.1990.0089

2054-0280

Dietrich Dörner,

Complex Systems and Decision Making

Unlike other living creatures, humans can adapt to uncertainty. They can form hypotheses about situations marked by uncertainty and can anticipate their actions by planning. They can expect the unexpected and take precautions against it. In numerous experiments, we have investigated the manner in which humans deal with these demands. In these experiments, we used computer simulated scenarios representing, for example, a small town, ecological or economic systems or political systems such as a Third World country. Within these computer-simulated scenarios, the subjects had to look for information, plan actions, form hypotheses, etc.