Portal de Periódicos da CAPES

The Effects of Economic Policies on Votes for the Presidency: Some Evidence from Recent Elections

1975; University of Chicago Press; Volume: 18; Issue: 3 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1086/466841

1537-5285

Allan H. Meltzer, Marc Vellrath,

Fiscal Policies and Political Economy

Previous articleNext article No AccessThe Effects of Economic Policies on Votes for the Presidency: Some Evidence from Recent ElectionsAllan H. Meltzer, and Marc VellrathAllan H. Meltzer Search for more articles by this author , and Marc Vellrath Search for more articles by this author PDFPDF PLUS Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditEmail SectionsMoreDetailsFiguresReferencesCited by The Journal of Law and Economics Volume 18, Number 3Dec., 1975Economic Analysis of Political Behavior Sponsored by The University of Chicago Booth School of Business and The University of Chicago Law School Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/466841 Views: 16Total views on this site Citations: 44Citations are reported from Crossref Copyright 1976 The University of Chicago Law SchoolPDF download Crossref reports the following articles citing this article:Daniel L. Bennett, Jason T. Long Is it the economic policy, stupid? Economic policy, political parties & the gubernatorial incumbent advantage, European Journal of Political Economy 58 (Jun 2019): 118–137.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2018.09.006Daniel Bennett, Jason T. Long Is It the Economic Policy, Stupid? Economic Policy, Political Parties & the Gubernatorial Incumbent Advantage, SSRN Electronic Journal (Jan 2018).https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3182697AIE-RIE LEE, YONG U. GLASURE Economic Voting in South Korea: Pocketbook or Sociotropic?, Japanese Journal of Political Science 13, no.33 (Aug 2012): 337–353.https://doi.org/10.1017/S1468109912000138Tien-Tsung Lee Why They Don’t Trust the Media: An Examination of Factors Predicting Trust, American Behavioral Scientist 54, no.11 (Sep 2010): 8–21.https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764210376308Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Mary Stegmaier American voter to economic voter: Evolution of an idea, Electoral Studies 28, no.44 (Dec 2009): 625–631.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2009.05.023Rongili Biswas, Sugata Marjit Distributive manipulations and political stability: A theoretical analysis, International Review of Economics & Finance 17, no.44 (Oct 2008): 618–628.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2007.06.007Éric Dubois Les déterminants économiques du vote 1976-2006 : trente ans de fonctions de vote en France, Revue d'économie politique Vol. 117, no.22 (Apr 2007): 243–270.https://doi.org/10.3917/redp.172.0243Oded Izraeli, Sherman Folland State Income, Employment, Infrastructure and Well-Being: Do Party Control and Political Competition Matter?, SSRN Electronic Journal (Jan 2007).https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.899454Cameron Elliott Gordon Teleology and its Use and Misuse in Theories of Public Administration: The Case of Economic Policy, SSRN Electronic Journal (Jan 2006).https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1090104Eduardo A. Lora, Mauricio Olivera The Electoral Consequences of the Washington Consensus, SSRN Electronic Journal (Jan 2005).https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1818730Aie-Rie Lee, Yong U. Glasure Political Cynicism in South Korea: Economics or Values?, Asian Affairs: An American Review 29, no.11 (Jan 2002): 43–58.https://doi.org/10.1080/00927670209598875Otto H. Swank Partisan policies, macroeconomic performance and political support, Journal of Macroeconomics 20, no.22 (Mar 1998): 367–386.https://doi.org/10.1016/S0164-0704(98)00063-9Cameron Elliott Gordon Balanced Budgets and the Withering of U.S. Fiscal Policy: The Outlines of a Postwar American Fiscal Constitution, SSRN Electronic Journal (Jan 1996).https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1089295Burton A. Abrams, James L. Butkiewicz The influence of state-level economic conditions on the 1992 U.S. presidential election, Public Choice 85, no.1-21-2 (Oct 1995): 1–10.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01047898ALI CARKOgLU Election manifestos and policy-oriented economic voting., European Journal of Political Research 27, no.33 (Apr 1995): 293–317.https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.1995.tb00472.xAie-Rie Lee Economics vs. values in political trust in Korea, Studies in Comparative International Development 29, no.44 (Dec 1994): 25–40.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02802946Ehsan H. Feroz, Earl R. Wilson FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING MEASURES AND MAYORAL ELECTIONS, Financial Accountability and Management 10, no.33 (Aug 1994): 161–174.https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0408.1994.tb00006.xPaul R. Blackley, Edward M. Shepard A Statistical Analysis of the Effect of State-Level Economic Conditions On the 1992 Presidential Election, Public Finance Quarterly 22, no.33 (Aug 2016): 366–382.https://doi.org/10.1177/109114219402200305O. H. Swank Popularity functions based on the partisan theory, Public Choice 75, no.44 (Apr 1993): 339–356.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01053443Stephen D. Shaffer, George A. Chressanthis GOVERNANCE AND U.S. SENATE ELECTIONS: A COMPARISON OF PRESIDENTTAL AND MIDTERM ELECTIONS, Southeastern Political Review 20, no.22 (Nov 2008): 201–230.https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.1992.tb00308.xDavid G. Lawrence The Collapse of the Democratic Majority: Economics and Vote Choice Since 1952, Western Political Quarterly 44, no.44 (Sep 2016): 797–820.https://doi.org/10.1177/106591299104400403John Panzer, Ricardo D. Paredes The role of economic issues in elections: The case of the 1988 Chilean presidential referendum, Public Choice 71, no.1-21-2 (Aug 1991): 51–59.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00138450Randall W. Bennett, Clark Wiseman Economic performance and U.S. Senate elections, 1958?1986, Public Choice 69, no.11 (Feb 1991): 93–100.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00123857O. H. Swank Presidential popularity and reputation, De Economist 138, no.22 (Jun 1990): 168–180.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01329989Norman Frohlich, Joe Oppenheimer Redistributive politics: A theory of taxation for an incumbent in a democracy, Public Choice 64, no.22 (Feb 1990): 135–153.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00153160Amihai Glazer A new theory of voting: Why vote when millions of others do, Theory and Decision 22, no.33 (May 1987): 257–270.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00134088Mary Anne Gaffney Consolidated versus fund-type accounting statements: The perspectives of constituents, Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 5, no.33 (Sep 1986): 167–189.https://doi.org/10.1016/0278-4254(86)90013-XALEX CUKIERMAN, ALLAN H. MELTZER A POSITIVE THEORY OF DISCRETIONARY POLICY, THE COST OF DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENT AND THE BENEFITS OF A CONSTITUTION, Economic Inquiry 24, no.33 (Jul 1986): 367–388.https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1465-7295.1986.tb01817.xHenry W. Chappell, William R. Keech The political viability of rule-based monetary policy, Public Choice 46, no.22 (Jan 1985): 125–140.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00179735Norman Frohlich, Joe Oppenheimer Post election redistributive strategies of representatives: A partial theory of the politics of redistribution, Public Choice 42, no.22 (Jan 1984): 113–131.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00124155D. Roderick Kiewiet, Douglas Rivers A retrospective on retrospective voting, Political Behavior 6, no.44 (Jan 1984): 369–393.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00987073Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Tom W. Rice Forecasting presidential elections: A comparison of naive models, Political Behavior 6, no.11 (Jan 1984): 9–21.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00988226Walker A. Pollard Presidential Elections: Cyclical and Distributional Economic Effects, Public Finance Quarterly 11, no.22 (Aug 2016): 217–236.https://doi.org/10.1177/109114218301100205 Theodore J. Eismeier Votes & Taxes: The Political Economy of the American Governorship, Polity 15, no.33 (Nov 2016): 368–379.https://doi.org/10.2307/3234667Henry W. Chappell, William R. Keech Welfare Consequences of the Six-Year Presidential Term Evaluated in the Context of a Model of the U.S. Economy, American Political Science Review 77, no.11 (Aug 2014): 75–91.https://doi.org/10.2307/1956012Paul A. Gough, Gregory G. Brunk Are Economic Conditions Really Important for New Zealand Elections?, Political Science 33, no.11 (Jul 1981): 1–9.https://doi.org/10.1177/003231878103300101Donald R. Kinder, D. Roderick Kiewiet Sociotropic Politics: The American Case, British Journal of Political Science 11, no.22 (Jan 2009): 129–161.https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123400002544Lars Jonung, Eskil Wadensjö The Effect of Unemployment, Inflation and Real Income Growth on Government Popularity in Sweden, (Jan 1981): 202–212.https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-05090-1_14Gianluigi Galeotti TESTING THE IMPACT OF ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ON POLITICAL OUTCOMES: WHAT ARE WE UP TO?, Metroeconomica 32, no.2-32-3 (Jun 1980): 227–239.https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-999X.1980.tb00009.xBurton A. Abrams The influence of state-level economic conditions on presidential elections, Public Choice 35, no.55 (Jan 1980): 623–631.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00140090Henry C. Kenski The Impact of Unemployment on Congressional Elections 1958-1974, American Politics Quarterly 7, no.22 (Apr 1979): 147–154.https://doi.org/10.1177/1532673X7900700203Kristen R. Monroe ?God of vengeance and of reward??: The economy and presidential popularity, Political Behavior 1, no.44 (Jan 1979): 301–329.https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00989807William A. Luksetich, William B. Riley The effects of economic factors on presidential elections: 1900–1972, Journal of Behavioral Economics 7, no.22 (Dec 1978): 11–25.https://doi.org/10.1016/0090-5720(78)90003-7Bruno S. Frey Keynesian Thinking in Politico-Economic Models, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 1, no.11 (Nov 2015): 71–81.https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1978.11489094