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The AFC Score: Validation of a 4-Item Predicting Score of Postoperative Mortality After Colorectal Resection for Cancer or Diverticulitis

2007; Lippincott Williams & Wilkins; Volume: 246; Issue: 1 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1097/sla.0b013e3180602ff5

1528-1140

Arnaud Alvès, Yves Panís, Georges Mantion, K. Slim, Fabrice Kwiatkowski, Éric Vicaut,

Pelvic and Acetabular Injuries

In Brief Objective: The aim of the present prospective study was to validate externally a 4-item predictive score of mortality after colorectal surgery (the AFC score) by testing its generalizability on a new population. Summary Background Data: We have recently reported, in a French prospective multicenter study, that age older than 70 years, neurologic comorbidity, underweight (body weight loss >10% in 10%, neurologic comorbidity, and age older than 70 years in a multivariate logistic model. The validity of the AFC score in this population was found very high based both on the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test (P = 0.37) and on the area under the ROC curve (0.89). We also found that discriminatory capacity was higher than other currently used risk scoring systems such as the Glasgow or ASA score. Conclusion: The present prospective study validated the AFC score as a pertinent predictive score of postoperative mortality after colorectal surgery. Because it is based on only 4 risk factors, the AFC score can be used in daily practice. The present prospective study validated the AFC score as a pertinent predictive score of postoperative mortality after colorectal surgery. Because it is based on only 4 risk factors (emergency surgery, body weight loss >10% in less than 6 months, neurologic comorbidity, and age >70 years), the AFC score can be used in daily practice.