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Empirical Study on the Volatility of the Hang-Seng Index

2006; Institute of Physics; Volume: 23; Issue: 3 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1088/0256-307x/23/3/063

1741-3540

Shi‐Min Cai, Pei-Ling Zhou, Huijie Yang, Chunxia Yang, Bing-Hong Wang, Tao Zhou,

Chaos control and synchronization

We study the statistical properties of volatility of price fluctuation for the Hang-Seng index in the Hong Kong stock market, they are measured by locally averaging over a time window T, the absolute value of price change over a short time interval Δt. The data include minute-by-minute records of the Hang-Seng index from 3 January 1994 to 28 May 1997. We find that the cumulative distribution of the volatility is consistent with the asymptotic power-law behaviour, characterized by the power exponent μ = 2.12±0.04, different from that found in the previous studies as μ≈3. The volatility distribution remains the same asymptotic power-law behaviour for the time scales from T = 10 min to T = 80 min. Furthermore, we investigate the volatility correlations by using the power spectrum analysis and detrended fluctuation analysis. Both the methods show a long-range power-law decay with the exponent α = 0.636±0.002.