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Downscaling of Bulgarian chemical weather forecast from Bulgaria region to Sofia city

2013; American Institute of Physics; Linguagem: Inglês

10.1063/1.4827221

1935-0465

Dimiter Syrakov, Iglika Etropolska, Maria Prodanova, Kiril Slavov, Kostadin Ganev, N. Miloshev, Todor Ljubenov,

Atmospheric Ozone and Climate

In the paper, Bulgarian Chemical Weather Forecast System (BgCWFS), version 3, will be described end the respective end-user products will be demonstrated. Chemical Weather is understood as concentration distribution of some key pollutants in a particular area and its changes during some forecast period. In Bulgaria, a prototype of such a system was built in the frame of a project with the National Science fund. It covers a relatively small domain including Bulgaria that requires the use of chemical boundary conditions (CBC) from similar foreign systems. The last version of the System is built in the frame of EU FP7 project PASODOBLE. Following its requirements, concentration data (CBC) for the region of Bulgaria are provided by SILAM System of Finish Meteorological Institute. It operates over the whole European region but is able to provide data for any European sub-domain by its THREDDS service. The customer makes an Internet request containing all necessary parameters – sub-region dimensions, pollutants, period of forecast etc. In a few minutes, the request is proceeded and all required data is downloaded as a single NetCDF file. This file is post-processed as to obtain the necessary boundary conditions. The new version of the system is built on the base of the nesting approach – two other domains with increasing resolution are nested in the Bulgaria one downscaling to 1 km space resolution over Sofia city. The System is fully atomized. Computations start at 00 UTC every day and the forecast period is 72 hours. It is based on the well known models WRF (Mesometeorological Model) and US EPA dispersion model CMAQ (Chemical Transport Model). As emission input the 2010 inventory data prepared by Bulgarian environmental authorities is exploited. The results are presented in the System's web-site (http://www.niggg.bas.bg/cw3/).