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The GOLPE procedure for predicting olive crop production from climatic parameters

2001; Wiley; Volume: 15; Issue: 4 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1002/cem.670

1099-128X

Monica Clementi, Sérgio Clementi, Marco Fornaciari, Fabio Orlandi, Bruno Romano,

Horticultural and Viticultural Research

Abstract This paper reviews the philosophy of the GOLPE procedure, explaining the reasons for the validation criterion and variable selection method used and comparing GOLPE with other regression and variable selection methods. Its application to olive production, for a training set of 16 years, allows one to improve the uncertainty of prediction of the yearly crop production from temperature, rain, heliophany, humidity and wind from 30% to 14% and to indicate the climatic parameters affecting crop production. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.