Artigo Revisado por pares

Carbon Markets, Debt and Uneven Development

2013; Taylor & Francis; Volume: 34; Issue: 4 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1080/01436597.2013.786288

ISSN

1360-2241

Autores

Kate Ervine,

Tópico(s)

Climate Change Policy and Economics

Resumo

Abstract Abstract The United Nations Clean Development Mechanism (cdm) has been envisaged as a powerful tool for reconciling the global South’s environment and development problematic. By allowing Southern states to produce and sell carbon credits into the Kyoto Protocol’s compliance market, many predicted a growing North–South transfer of carbon finance, technology and profit. Confronted by deep crisis in global carbon markets, however, the cdm, rather than spurring development, is furnishing the conditions for rising debt and insecurity since project costs must be financed upfront, with the expectation that future project revenue will subsequently fulfil these obligations. This paper analyses the dialectic entanglements between the cdm’s ex post and market-dependent financing structure, the carbon market crisis and uneven development, based on the contention that cdm-related debt reveals the deeply unequal power relations that underpin contemporary approaches to climate change mitigation, whereby the North’s ecological debt is displaced, both materially and financially, onto Southern actors. Notes 1 The author would like to thank the editors, the organisers of the ‘Repoliticising Debt’ workshop held at Queen’s University, May 2012 and the workshop participants and anonymous reviewers for their helpful feedback on earlier drafts of this paper.A Bumpus & D Liverman, ‘Accumulation by decarbonisation and the governance of carbon offsets’, Economic Geography, 84(2), 2008, pp 127–155; H Lovell, H Bulkeley & D Liverman, ‘Carbon offsetting: sustaining consumption?’, Environment and Planning A, 41(10), 2009, pp 2357–2379; H Lovell & D Liverman, ‘Understanding carbon offset technologies’, New Political Economy, 12(2), 2010, pp 255–273; P Bond, ‘Emissions trading, new enclosures and eco-social contestation’, Antipode, 44(3), 2012, pp 684–701; P Bond & MK Dorsey, ‘Anatomies of environmental knowledge and resistance: diverse climate justice movements and waning eco-neoliberalism’, Australian Journal of Political Economy, 66, 2010, pp 286–316; and L Lohmann (ed), ‘Special Issue: Carbon Trading—A Critical Conversation on Climate Change, Privatisation and Power’, Development Dialogue, 48, 2006. 2 P Bond et al, ‘The cdm in Africa cannot deliver the money’, University of KwaZulu-Natal Centre for Civil Society, Durban and Dartmouth College Climate Justice Research Project, 2012; and H Bachram, ‘Climate fraud and carbon colonialism: the new trade in greenhouse gases’, Capitalism, Nature, Socialism, 15(4), 2004, pp 1–16. 3 P Newell, ‘Varieties of cdm governance: some reflections’, Journal of Environment and Development, 18(4), 2009, pp 425–435; A Bumpus, ‘The matter of carbon: understanding the materiality of Tco2e in carbon offsets’, Antipode, 43(3), 2011, pp 612–638; and GL Simon, A Bumpus & P Mann, ‘Win-win scenarios at the climate–development interface: challenges and opportunities for stove replacement programs through carbon finance’, Global Environmental Change, 22, 2012, pp 275–287. 4 I recognise the limitations of terms such as ‘North’ and ‘South’ in that they may falsely dichotomise geographic spaces, actors and histories. Their usage is embedded within the principle of Common but Differentiated Responsibility as it helps to illuminate important class and geography-based distinctions in greenhouse gas emissions, whereby per capita emissions in the global North continue to far exceed those of the global South. 5 G Bridge, ‘Resource geographies I: making carbon economies, old and new’, Progress in Human Geography, 35(6), 2010, pp 820–834. 6 Ibid; and MT Boykoff et al, ‘Theorising the carbon economy’, Environment and Planning A, 41(10), 2009, pp 2299–2304. 7 N Smith, Uneven Development: Nature, Capital, and the Production of Space, Athens, GA: University of Georgia Press, 1984; and D Harvey, The Enigma of Capital and the Crises of Capitalism, New York: Oxford University Press, 2010. 8 E Altvater, ‘The social and natural environment of fossil capitalism’, in L Panitch & C Leys (eds), Socialist Register 2007: Coming to Terms with Nature, London: Merlin Press, 2007, pp 37–59. 9 D Harvey, The New Imperialism, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 2003; and A Zalik, ‘Zones of exclusion: offshore extraction, the contestation of space, and physical displacement in the Nigerian Delta and the Mexican Gulf’, Antipode, 41(3), 2009, pp 557–582. 10 N Adger, ‘Climate change, human well-being and insecurity’, New Political Economy, 15(2), 2010, pp 275–292. 11 M Paterson, ‘Who and what are carbon markets for? Politics and the development of climate policy’, Climate Policy, 12(1), 2012, pp 82–97; and J Meckling, ‘The globalisation of carbon trading: transnational business coalitions in climate politics’, Global Environmental Politics, 11(2), 2011, pp 26–50. 12 Ibid. 13 M Paterson, M. Hoffmann, M Betsill & S Bernstein, ‘The micro foundations of global climate governance: an analysis of the transnational emission trading network’, paper presented at the Princeton Conference on ‘Research Frontiers in Comparative and International Environmental Politics’, Princeton University, 2011. 14 Lovell et al, ‘Carbon offsetting’; and Bumpus & Liverman, ‘Accumulation by decarbonisation’. 15 Paterson, ‘Who and what are carbon markets for?’. 16 N Smith, ‘Nature as accumulation strategy’, in Panitch & Leys, Socialist Register 2007, pp 16–36; and N Castree & B Braun, ‘The construction of nature and nature of construction: analytical and political tools for building survivable futures’, in Castree & Braun (eds), Remaking Reality: Nature at the Millennium, New York: Routledge, 1998, pp 3–42. 17 Harvey, The Enigma of Capital. 18 K Ervine, ‘The greying of green governance: power politics and the global environment facility’, Capitalism, Nature, Socialism, 18(4), 2007, pp 125–142; and K McAfee, ‘Selling nature to save it? Biodiversity and the rise of green developmentalism’, Environment and Planning D: Society and Space, 17(2), 1999, pp 133–154. 19 Paterson, ‘Who and what are carbon markets for?’. 20 EcoSecurities, Guidebook to Financing cdm Projects, Roskilde: cd4cdm, 2007, p 14; and E Boyd et al, The Clean Development Mechanism: An Assessment of Current Practice and Future Approaches for Policy, Norwich: Environmental Change Institute and Tyndall Centre for Climate Research, 2007, p 5. 21 EcoSecurities, Guidebook to Financing cdm Projects, pp 15,75. 22 Ibid, pp 33, 55–57; and undp, The Clean Development Mechanism: A User’s Guide, New York: undp, 2003, p 57. 23 F Lecocq & P Ambrossi, ‘The Clean Development Mechanism: history, status, and prospects’, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 1(1), 2007, pp 134–151. 24 EcoSecurities, Guidebook to Financing cdm Projects, p 29. 25 niras, Study on the Potential Use of Micro Financing in Support of cdm Projects in ldc Countries, Allerød, Denmark: niras, 2008. 26 S Böhm & S Dabhi (eds), Upsetting the Offset: The Political Economy of Carbon Markets, London: May Fly Books, 2009; M Gutierrez, ‘Making markets out of thin air: a case of capital involution’, Antipode, 43(3), 2011, pp 639–661; and C Spash, ‘The brave new world of carbon trading’, New Political Economy, 15(2), 2010, pp 169–195. 27 unfccc, ‘cdm in numbers’, 2012, at http://cdm.unfccc.int/Statistics/index.html, accessed 3 October 2012. 28 A Kossoy & P Guigon, State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2012, Washington, DC: World Bank, 2012, p 9. 29 Ibid. Carbon is valued according to various asset classes. They include European Union Allowances (euas), which are used in the EU ets, with cers produced under the cdm, and erus (Emission Reduction Units) produced under Joint Implementation, fungible with euas. 30 M Mansanet-Bataller, J Chevallier, M Hervé-Mignucci & E Alberola, ‘The euas–cer spread: compliance strategies and arbitrage in the European carbon market’, Mission Climat Working Paper 2010-6, Mission Climat, 2010, p 9, at http://www.caissedesdepots.fr/missionclimat; P Clark & J Blas, ‘Carbon prices tumble to record low’, Financial Times, 2 April 2012; ‘Cap-and-price fix’, Wall Street Journal, 11 April 2012; Carbon Market Europe, ‘Rock bottom Co2 price boon or bust for EU emitters’, Point Carbon 11(37), 2012, pp 4–5. 31 LK McAllister, ‘The overallocation problem in cap-and-trade: moving toward stringency’, Columbia Journal of Environmental Law, 34(2), 2009, pp 395–345. 32 Ibid. 33 D Morris, Losing the Lead? Europe’s Flagging Carbon Market, London: Sandbag Climate Campaign, 2012, p 4. 34 Ibid, p 21. 35 Ibid; ‘Steel, cement to cash free emission permit billions’, EurActiv.com, 5 March 2010; and ASJ Drew, ‘Government failure and the EU ets: what prospect for Phase 3?’, Climate of Opinion: Stockholm Network’s Energy and Environment Update, 14, 2010, pp 3–6. 36 P McMichael, ‘The world food crisis in historical perspective’, Monthly Review, 61(3), 2009, pp; K Polanyi, The Great Transformation: The Political and Economic Origins of Our Time, Boston, MA: Beacon Press, 1957, at http://monthlyreview.org/2009/07/01/the-world-food-crisis-in-historical-perspective, accessed 10 April 2012; and B Mansfield, ‘Privatisation: property and the remaking of nature–society relations’, Antipode, 39(3), 2007, pp 393–405. 37 Clark & Blas, ‘Carbon prices tumble to record low’; ‘EU emissions drop triggers carbon price freefall’, EurActiv.com, 3 April 2012, at http://www.euractiv.com/climate-environment/eu-emissions-drop-triggers-carbon-price-freefall-news-511916, accessed 12 April 2012; and Point Carbon, ‘EU ets emissions down 2.5 pct in 2011’, Carbon Market Daily, 9(75), 2012. 38 G Wynn & N Chestney, ‘Carbon offsets near record low, worst performing commodity’, Reuters, 5 August 2011; Clark & Blas, ‘Carbon prices tumble to record low’; C Airlie, ‘Deutsche Bank says C02 set-aside won’t spur clean investment’, Bloomberg, 13 April 2012; and H Hermann & FC Matthes, Strengthening the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme and Raising Ambition: Facts, Measures and Implications, Berlin: Öko-Institut, 2012. 39 European Daily Carbon Markets, ‘EU institution’ disagreement on carbon set-aside continues’, European Daily Carbon Markets, 11 April 2012; and B Garside, ‘EU plan to fix ets to contain no numbers, faces delays: source’, Carbon Market Daily, 9(139), 2012, pp 1–4. 40 A Allan, ‘EU Co2 price support plan meets internal opposition’, Point Carbon, 25 June 2012. 41 Hermann & Matthes, Strengthening the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme, p 3. 42 S Twidale, ‘December cer issuance heads for 35 million mark’, Carbon Market Daily, 7(255), 2011, pp 1–4. 43 United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, The Global Financial Crisis: Impact, Responses, and Way Forward, Addis Ababa: United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, 2009; and irin, ‘Financial crisis could cut official aid by 30%’, Integrated Regional Information Networks, New York, 6 November 2008. 44 Carbon Finance, ‘cer prices slashed but some analysts remain bullish’, Carbon Finance, 13 January 2012; and J McGarrity, ‘cers plunge to new low, test 3 euros’, Carbon Market Daily, 9(138), 2012, pp 1–4. 45 P Castro, Climate Change Mitigation in Advanced Developing Countries: Empirical Analysis of the Low-Hanging Fruit Issue, Zurich: University of Zurich, 2010. 46 L Lohmann, ‘Uncertainty markets and carbon markets: variations on Polanyian themes’, New Political Economy, 15(2), 2010, pp 225–254; U Narain & K van’t Veld, ‘The Clean Development Mechanism’s low-hanging fruit problem: when might it arise, and how might it be solved?’, Environmental and Resource Economics, 40(3), 2008, pp 445–465; and EcoSecurities, Guidebook to Financing cdm Projects, p 77. 47 EcoSecurities, Guidebook to Financing cdm Projects, p 76. 48 GA Green, A Quantitative Analysis of the Cost-effectiveness of Project Types in the cdm Pipeline, Copenhagen: Institute of Food and Resource Economics, University of Cophenhagen/unep Risoe Centre, 2008. 49 ‘The smoking greenhouse gun: an alluring trade in “supergreenhouse” gas is coming under scrutiny’, The Economist, 2010, at http://www.economist.com/node/16944921, accessed 10 February 2011. 50 unep Risoe Centre, ‘cdm projects by type’, 2012, at http://www.cdmpipeline.org/cdm-projects-type.htm, accessed 3 October 2012. 51 T De Lopez et al, ‘Clean Development Mechanism and least developed countries’, Journal of Environment and Development, 18(4), 2009, pp 436–452. 52 ‘The smoking greenhouse gun’. 53 European Union, ‘Emissions trading: Commission welcomes vote to ban certain industrial gas credits’, Europa, 2011, at http://europa.eu/rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=IP/11/56, accessed 27 April 2012. 54 Lohmann, ‘Uncertainty markets and carbon markets’. 55 Kossoy & Guigon, State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2012, p 9. 56 Ibid; and N Linacre, A Kossoy & P Ambrossi, State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2011, Washington, DC: World Bank, 2011, p 9. 57 ‘Global carbon market expands 10% in 2011’, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 11 January 2012. 58 K Neuhoff et al, Banking of Surplus Emissions Allowances: Does the Volume Matter?, Berlin: German Institute for Economic Research, 2012. 59 Ibid, p 2. 60 M Szabo, ‘Vicious cycle means failed EU CO2 sales inevitable: traders’, Point Carbon, 23 January 2013, pp 1–3; and A Zalik, ‘Oil “futures”: Shell’s scenarios and the social constitution of the global oil market’, Geoforum, 41(4), 2010, pp 553–564. Zalik’s paper contains a detailed discussion and theorisation of the social constitution of markets, with specific reference to speculation on oil futures markets. 61 Wynn & Chestney, ‘Carbon offsets near record low’. 62 ‘cer buyers seek contract rejigs, exits as prices collapse’, Point Carbon, 6 January 2012; ‘Analysts at odds over supply impact of weak cer prices’, Point Carbon, 9 January 2012; and undp, The Clean Development Mechanism. 63 Boyd et al, ‘The Clean Development Mechanism’, p 13. 64 Green, A Quantitative Analysis of the Cost-effectiveness of Project Types in the cdm Pipeline. 65 K Tienhaara, ‘The potential perils of forest carbon contracts for developing countries: cases from Africa’, Journal of Peasant Studies, 39(2), 2012, pp 551–572. 66 C Carr & F Rosembuj, ‘Flexible mechanisms for climate change compliance: emission offset purchases under the Clean Development Mechanism’, New York University Environmental Law Journal, 16(1), 2008, pp 43–62; Mitsubishi UFJ Securities, ‘Emission reduction purchase agreements: a seller’s perspective’, Department of Environment and Natural Resources, Republic of the Philippines/Japan International Cooperation Agency, 2006, pp 16–19; and Lecocq & Ambrossi, ‘The Clean Development Mechanism’. 67 ‘cer buyers seek contract rejigs’. 68 Ibid; and N Chestney & J Coelho, ‘Carbon offset firms feel heat of price crash’, Financial Post, 29 November 2011. 69 Lecocq & Ambrossi, ‘The Clean Development Mechanism’. 70 European Union, ‘Emissions trading’. 71 De Lopez et al, ‘Clean Development Mechanism and least developed countries’; and PV Desanker, ‘The Kyoto Protocol and the cdm in Africa: a good idea but...’, Unasylva, 222(56), 2005, pp 24–25. 72 S Twidale, ‘In the spotlight’, Trading Carbon, 5(10), 2011, pp 12–15. 73 T Forsyth, ‘Promoting the “development dividend” of climate technology transfer: can cross-sector partnerships help?’, World Development, 35(10), 2007, pp 1684–1698. 74 Simon et al, ‘Win-win scenarios at the climate–development interface’. 75 B Campbell, ‘Beyond Copenhagen: Redd+, agriculture, adaptation strategies and poverty’, Global Environmental Change, 19(4), 2009, pp 397–399. 76 Twidale, ‘In the spotlight’. 77 unfccc, ‘unfccc loan scheme for cdm’, 2012, at http://www.cdmloanscheme.org/, accessed 10 May 201. 78 EcoSecurities, Guidebook to Financing cdm Projects. 79 A Allan, ‘UN awards $3mln in loans to boost cdm investment’, Carbon Market Daily, 9(179), 2012, p 4. 80 O Coomes et al, ‘The fate of the tropical forest: carbon or cattle?’, Ecological Economics, 65(2), 2008, pp 207–212. 81 Ibid; and Gutierrez, ‘Making markets out of thin air’. 82 Coomes et al, ‘The fate of the tropical forest’. 83 Simon et al, ‘Win-win scenarios at the climate–development interface’. 84 niras, Study on the Potential Use of Micro Financing. 85 International Energy Agency, press release, 2011, at http://www.iea.org/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ID=426, accessed 5 May 2012.

Referência(s)
Altmetric
PlumX