Portal de Periódicos da CAPES

Climate change scenarios for impact assessment in Cuba

1999; Inter-Research Science Center; Volume: 12; Linguagem: Inglês

10.3354/cr012223

1616-1572

Abel Centella, Tatiana Gutierrez, Miriam Limia, RR Jaspe,

Climate change impacts on agriculture

CR Climate Research Contact the journal Facebook Twitter RSS Mailing List Subscribe to our mailing list via Mailchimp HomeLatest VolumeAbout the JournalEditorsSpecials CR 12:223-230 (1999) - doi:10.3354/cr012223 Climate change scenarios for impact assessment in Cuba Abel Centella*, Tomás Gutiérrez, Miriam Limia, Roger Rivero Jaspe Institute of Meteorology, Apartado 17032, CP 11700 Habana 17, Cuba *E-mail: abel@met.inf.cu ABSTRACT: Determining seasonal and regional patterns of climate change is in growing demand for the assessiment of the potential impacts on climate-related economic activities, such as agriculture or water resource management. This paper presents the results of the work done to determine possible patterns of CO2-induced climate change in Cuba based on the IPCC's best estimate of climate sensitivity and using IS92a and KYOTOA1 emission scenarios. The climate change scenarios were prepared combining general circulation model (GCM) results and output from the MAGICC climate model. The results of this study show that the methodology and the GCMs selected provide a large range of regional climate change and guarantee that the climatic change scenarios developed can be applied to explore a wide spectrum of the potential climate changes in different environments and social sectors in Cuba. KEY WORDS: Climate scenarios · Global climate change · Climate variability · Models Full text in pdf format PreviousExport citation RSS - Facebook - Tweet - linkedIn Cited by Published in CR Vol. 12, No. 2-3. Online publication date: August 27, 1999 Print ISSN: 0936-577X; Online ISSN: 1616-1572 Copyright © 1999 Inter-Research.