Artigo Revisado por pares

The ABCs of HVT: Key Lessons from High Value Targeting Campaigns Against Insurgents and Terrorists

2010; Taylor & Francis; Volume: 34; Issue: 1 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1080/1057610x.2011.531456

ISSN

1521-0731

Autores

Matt Frankel,

Tópico(s)

Military History and Strategy

Resumo

Abstract The use of high value targeting (HVT)—using military and police forces to kill or capture leaders of insurgent and terrorist groups—has increased exponentially since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. HVT operations have become the primary tool of the United States for combating Al Qaeda and its affiliates worldwide, and while these operations have eliminated scores of terrorists and insurgents from the battlefield, they haven't always led to strategic success. Utilizing a data set of 20 distinct HVT campaigns dating back to the end of World War II, this article will highlight the positive and negative effects of HVT efforts throughout history and identify six key lessons from past campaigns and their implications for the United States. The body of the paper looks at the important issues inherent to any HVT campaign, including the benefits of having a local force carry out the campaign, the importance of incorporating HVT into a larger counterinsurgency strategy, and the necessity of understanding the dynamics of the group being targeted. The United States has historically struggled in all of these areas, leading to difficulties in achieving success through HVT operations, but these historical lessons also provide opportunities for progress. The article concludes with important implications for the United States and identifies strategies for improvement in these pivotal areas, including expanding relationships with host governments, leveraging new technologies, and contemplating unique ways to approach target sets. Failure to make these changes, the article argues, will leave the United States with the same strategic failures it had with the infamous “deck of cards” in Iraq, where the focus on HVT at the expense of counterinsurgency both helped create and failed to stop the spread of a nationwide insurgency. This article was written while the author was a Federal Executive Fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington, DC, USA. Notes 1. Stephen Farrell, “Video Links Taliban in Pakistan to Attack on CIA,” New York Times, 10 January 2010. 2. President Bush Speech at Ft. Stewart, Georgia, 12 September 2003; Gen. Richard Myers on Meet the Press, 24 August 2003; ABC News Primetime “Hunted Down in Iraq,” 22 July 2003. 3. Available at cfr.org/publication/9238 4. MNF-I Data Set, 2008. 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Schwarz, American Counterinsurgency Doctrine and El Salvador: The Frustrations of Reform and the Illusions of Nation Building (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1991). 22. “Deadly Vision: U.S. Forces Once had the Renegade Cleric in Their Cross Hairs,” Newsweek, 10 April 2006; “U.S. Deploys a Purpose-Driven Distinction; Reluctance to Identify Foes as Sadrists Reflects View of Iran and Fragility of Security Gains,” The Washington Post, 21 May 2008. 23. Ellen Knickmeyer and John Ward Anderson, “Iraq Tells U.S. to Quit Checkpoints,” The Washington Post. 1 November 2006; Tony Karon, “What's Behind the Growing Baghdad-Washington Rift,” TIME, 1 November 2006. 24. “Iraq: Cracking Down On Al-Sadr No Easy Task,” Radio Free Europe, 26 January 2007. 25. Stephen L. Weigert, Traditional Religion and Guerilla Warfare in Modern Africa (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1996). 26. Stephen T. Hosmer, Operations Against Enemy Leaders (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2001), p. 35. 27. James S. Corum, Bad Strategies: How Major Powers Fail in Counterinsurgency (London: Zenith Press, 2008), p. 68 28. Mark Moyar, Phoenix and the Birds of Prey (Lincoln: University of Nebraska Press, 1997), pp. 227–228. 29. “US Camp in Iraq was Qaeda Breeding Ground, Say Ex-Inmates,” Associated Press, 15 November 2009. 30. Ralph Peters, “COIN Lies We Love,” Armed Forces Journal, March 2009; Jack Kelly, “Stop Pretending in Afghanistan,” Toledo Blade, 5 September 2009. 31. “British Hostages in Iraq to be ‘Held for Years.’ “Times Online, 18 November 2007; “Iraqis Free Militant Tied to kidnapping,” Boston Globe, 6 January 2010, p. 8. 32. David Rohde, “They're Going to Kill Us,” New York Times, 19 October 2009. 33. David, “Fatal Choices,” p. 4. 34. Moyar, Phoenix and the Birds of Prey, p. 277. 35. Daniel Byman, “Do Targeted Killings Work?” Foreign Affairs, March/April 2006. 36. MNF-I Press Release, 22 August 2008; http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2008/08/coalition_forces_tar.php 37. David Kilcullen and Andrew Exum, “Death From Above, Outrage Down Below,” New York Times, 16 May 2009. 38. John A. Nagl, Learning to Eat Soup With a Knife (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2002), pp. 96–101.

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