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Spatial dynamics of measles epidemics

2002; Elsevier BV; Volume: 17; Issue: 9 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1016/s0169-5347(02)02574-0

1872-8383

William W. Murdoch, Cheryl J. Briggs,

Zoonotic diseases and public health

In a set of three new papers, Grenfell and collaborators lay bare measles dynamics in England and Wales over 50 years. They use a simple mechanistic model and current statistical techniques to analyse records of measles infections in every town and city, and show that measles dynamics, including the spatial spread of the disease, is astonishingly clockwork like, and the underlying processes are remarkably simple.