Comparative Validity Analysis of Multiple Measures of Violence Risk in a Sample of Criminal Offenders
2005; SAGE Publishing; Volume: 32; Issue: 5 Linguagem: Inglês
10.1177/0093854805278411
ISSN1552-3594
AutoresKevin S. Douglas, Melissa Yeomans, Douglas P. Boer,
Tópico(s)Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis
ResumoThis study compared the predictive validity of multiple indices of violence risk among 188 general population criminal offenders: Historical-Clinical-Risk Management-20 (HCR-20) Violence Risk Assessment Scheme, Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG), Violent Offender Risk Assessment Scale (VORAS), Hare Psychopathy Checklist-Revised (PCL-R), and Screening Version (PCL:SV). Several indices were related to violent recidivism with large statistical effect sizes: HCR-20 (Total, Clinical and Risk Management scales, structured risk judgments), VRAG, and behavioral scales of psychopathy measures. Multivariate analyses showed that HCR-20 indices were consistently related to violence and that the VRAG entered some analyses. Findings are inconsistent with a position of strict actuarial superiority, as HCR-20 structured risk judgments—an index of structured professional or clinical judgment—were as strongly related to violence.
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