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The effects of future retail developments on the local economy: Combining micro and macro approaches

2010; Elsevier BV; Volume: 89; Issue: 4 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1111/j.1435-5957.2010.00307.x

1435-5957

Eveline van Leeuwen,

Migration, Aging, and Tourism Studies

Papers in Regional ScienceVolume 89, Issue 4 p. 691-710 The effects of future retail developments on the local economy: Combining micro and macro approaches Eveline S. Van Leeuwen, Eveline S. Van Leeuwen VU University Amsterdam, Department of Spatial Economics, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands (e-mail: [email protected]) This paper draws on data collected as part of the EU Framework V project: MARKETOWNS – The Role of Small and Medium-sized Towns in Rural Development [EU RTD Project QLRT-2000-01923]. This programme also involved L. Mayfield, R. Tranter, P. Jones and P. Grey from University of Reading (UK); P. Courtney from University of Gloucestershire (Cheltenham, UK); S. Ford, S. Agarwal, A. Errington and A. McGeorge from the University of Plymouth (UK); B. Schmitt, D. Le'picier and M. Jobard from CESÆR (Dijon, F); I. Terluin and M. van Leeuwen from LEI (The Hague, NL); K. Heffner, A. Rosner and A. Czarnecki from Polish Academy of Sciences (Warsaw, PO); and F. Diniz from the University of Tras-os-Montes and Alto Douro (Vila Real, PT).Furthermore, I would like to thank three anonymous reviewers for their very useful comments and remarks. Finally, I would like to thank the ERSA 2008 reviewers for their useful suggestions and for rewarding an earlier version of this paper with the EPAINOS award for the best young scientist paper.Search for more papers by this author Eveline S. Van Leeuwen, Eveline S. Van Leeuwen VU University Amsterdam, Department of Spatial Economics, De Boelelaan 1105, 1081HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands (e-mail: [email protected]) This paper draws on data collected as part of the EU Framework V project: MARKETOWNS – The Role of Small and Medium-sized Towns in Rural Development [EU RTD Project QLRT-2000-01923]. This programme also involved L. Mayfield, R. Tranter, P. Jones and P. Grey from University of Reading (UK); P. Courtney from University of Gloucestershire (Cheltenham, UK); S. Ford, S. Agarwal, A. Errington and A. McGeorge from the University of Plymouth (UK); B. Schmitt, D. Le'picier and M. Jobard from CESÆR (Dijon, F); I. Terluin and M. van Leeuwen from LEI (The Hague, NL); K. Heffner, A. Rosner and A. Czarnecki from Polish Academy of Sciences (Warsaw, PO); and F. Diniz from the University of Tras-os-Montes and Alto Douro (Vila Real, PT).Furthermore, I would like to thank three anonymous reviewers for their very useful comments and remarks. Finally, I would like to thank the ERSA 2008 reviewers for their useful suggestions and for rewarding an earlier version of this paper with the EPAINOS award for the best young scientist paper.Search for more papers by this author First published: 03 November 2010 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1435-5957.2010.00307.xCitations: 15 Read the full textAboutPDF ToolsRequest permissionExport citationAdd to favoritesTrack citation ShareShare Give accessShare full text accessShare full-text accessPlease review our Terms and Conditions of Use and check box below to share full-text version of article.I have read and accept the Wiley Online Library Terms and Conditions of UseShareable LinkUse the link below to share a full-text version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Learn more.Copy URL Abstract The aim of this research is to evaluate future retail developments in a medium-sized town and the indirect effects of individual behaviour on the local economy. Therefore we combine a spatial microsimulation model with a conditional logit model estimating the spatial shopping behaviour of households to simulate the effect of future retail developments. Then, we estimate the macro effects of these developments, mainly the effects on the retail sector, with help of an interregional SAM on town level. This analysis shows how different locations for retail developments have different impacts on households and firms in the local economy. Resumen El objetivo de esta investigación es evaluar futuras áreas comerciales en una ciudad de tamaño medio, así como loa efectos indirectos del comportamiento individual en la economía local. Por tanto, combinamos un modelo de micro simulación espacial con un modelo logit condicional que estima el comportamiento espacial familiar como consumidores para simular el efecto de futuras áreas comerciales. A continuación, estimamos los macro efectos de estas áreas, principalmente los efectos en el sector comercial, con ayuda de una MCS interregional a escala urbana. Este análisis muestra los impactos diferentes en las familias y empresas en la economía local que tienen las distintas localizaciones de futuras áreas comerciales. References Adelman I, Robinson S (1978) Income distribution policy in developing countries: A case study of Korea. Oxford University Press, Oxford Alarcon J, Van Heemst J, Keuning S, De Ruiter W, Vos R (1991) The social accounting framework for development, concepts, construction and applications. Avebury, Aldershot Ballas D, Clarke GP, Dewhurst JHL (2006a) Modelling the socio-economic impacts of major job loss or gain at the local level: A spatial microsimulation framework. 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