Artigo Revisado por pares

River Politics: China's policies in the Mekong and the Brahmaputra in comparative perspective

2013; Routledge; Volume: 23; Issue: 85 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1080/10670564.2013.809974

ISSN

1469-9400

Autores

Selina Ho,

Tópico(s)

Southeast Asian Sociopolitical Studies

Resumo

AbstractChina manages its transboundary rivers as a subset of its broader relations with other riparian states. This results in discernible differences in the way China approaches its international river systems. Although there is a limit to the extent of Chinese cooperation, in relative terms China is more cooperative in the Mekong than in the Brahmaputra. To China, Southeast Asian states are part of a hierarchical system where it stands at the apex. While problems exist, there are deep linkages between them, which help foster collaboration in the Mekong. India, which has greater power parity with China, is not part of China's hierarchical worldview. The territorial disputes and security dilemmas that characterize South Asian geopolitics further impede cooperation. Domestic considerations also impact on China's river policies. There is greater consensus among Chinese policymakers in managing the Mekong than the Brahmaputra, which explains the higher degree of clarity in Chinese policies towards the former compared to the latter. Notes 1. Avery Goldstein, 'An emerging China's emerging grand strategy: a neo-Bismarckian turn?', in John Ikenberry and Michael Mastanduno, eds, International Relations Theory and the Asia–Pacific (New York: Columbia University, 2003), pp. 57–106. 2. Brahma Chellaney, Water: Asia's New Battleground (Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press, 2011), p. 152. 3. Without engaging in a debate on the definition of multilateralism in this study, I have opted to define multilateralism in the broadest sense, using Robert Keohane's definition, which is 'the practice of coordinating national policies in groups of three or more states'. This definition allows for the inclusion of multilateral bodies, institutions, agreements and diplomacy in our discussion. See Robert O. Keohane, 'Multilateralism: an agenda for research', International Journal 45, (Autumn 1990), p. 731. 4. See for example Cheng-Chwee Kuik, 'Multilateralism in China's ASEAN policy: its evolution, characteristics and aspirations', Contemporary Southeast Asia 27(1), (2005), pp. 102–122. 5. Article 78 of the 2002 Water Law states: 'Where any international treaty or agreement relating to international or border rivers or lakes, concluded or acceded to by the People's Republic of China, contains provisions differing from those in the laws of the People's Republic of China, the provisions of the international treaty or agreement shall apply, unless the provisions are the ones on which the People's Republic of China has declared reservation'. Available at: http://www.china.org.cn/english/government/207454.htm. 6. James E. Nickum, 'The upstream superpower: China's international rivers', in Olli Varis, Cecilia Tortajada and Asit K. Biswas, eds, Management of Transboundary Rivers and Lakes (Berlin: Springer, 2008), p. 228. 7. This term is used by Nickum, Ibid. 8.Ibid., p. 230. 9. Peter Navarro, The Coming China Wars: Where They Will be Fought and How They Can Be Won (New Jersey: Financial Times Press, 2007).10. Chellaney, Water, p. 3.11.Atlas of International Freshwater Agreements, pp. 2–3, available at: http://www.transboundarywaters.orst.edu/publications/atlas/atlas_pdf/2_WorldsAgreements_atlas.pdf.12.Ibid.13. Aaron T. Wolf, 'Conflict and cooperation along international waterways', Water Policy 1(2), (1998), p. 257. Wolf did note that there was a single instance of a water war fought 4,500 years ago.14. Evelyn Goh, 'China in the Mekong River Basin: the regional security implications of resource development on the Lancang Jiang', in Mely Caballero-Anthony, Ralf Emmers and Amitav Acharya, eds, Non-Traditional Security in Asia: Dilemmas in Securitization (Aldershot: Ashgate Publishing Ltd, 2006), p. 226.15. 'Common pool resources' are defined as 'sufficiently large natural or manmade resources that is costly (but not necessarily impossible) to exclude potential beneficiaries from obtaining benefits from their use'. Definition taken from Roy Gardner, Elinor Ostrom and James Walker, 'The nature of common-pool resource problems', Rationality and Society 2, (1990), p. 335.16. MRC 2005, 2004, International Water Security, p. 82.17. Alex Liebman, 'Trickle-down hegemony? China's peaceful rise and dam building on the Mekong', Contemporary Southeast Asia 27(2), (2005), p. 292.18. Signed in 2001 between China, Laos, Myanmar and Thailand.19. Evelyn Goh, Developing the Mekong: Regionalism and Regional Security in China–Southeast Asian Relations, International Institute for Strategic Studies Adelphi Paper 387 (London: Routledge, 2007), p. 30.20.Ibid.21. Richard Cronin, 'China and the geopolitics of the Mekong River Basin: Part II', World Politics Review, (23 March 2012).22. Marko Keskinen, Katri Mehtonen and Olli Varis, 'Role of China and Cambodia in the Mekong region', in Nevelina I. Pachova, Mikiyasu Nakayama and Libor Jansky, eds, International Water Security: Domestic Threats and Opportunities (Hong Kong: United Nations University Press, 2008), p. 85.23. 'Vietnam to promote trade with China', The People's Daily, (26 May 2011), available at: http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90001/90778/90861/7392133.html.24. 'Cooperation still a dominant feature of Vietnam–China ties: Ambassador', Xinhua, (4 September 2011), available at: http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90883/7588418.html.25. 'Thailand and China trade rises 30%', Thailand Business News, (23 March 2011), available at: http://thailand-business-news.com/china/29888-thailand-and-china-trade-raises-30#.T5_iDe0SOi4.26. Heinrich Böll Stiftung, WWF and the International Institute for Sustainable Development, Policy Brief on Rethinking Investments in Natural Resources: China's Emerging Role in the Mekong Region, (2008), p. 3.27.Ibid.28. Richard Cronin, 'China and the geopolitics of the Mekong River Basin: Part I', World Politics Review, (22 March 2012). The MRC countries themselves have also shared little information on their own projects with each other. Richard Cronin and Timothy Hamlin, Mekong Tipping Point: Hydropower Dams, Human Security and Regional Stability (Washington, DC: The Henry L. Stimson Center, 2010), p. 15.29. Stiftung, WWF and the International Institute for Sustainable Development, p. 3.30. Goh, Developing the Mekong, p. 43.31.Ibid.32. Jonathan Holslag, 'Assessing the Sino–Indian water dispute', Journal of International Affairs 64(2), (Spring/Summer 2011), p. 23.33.Ibid.34. Chellaney, Water, p. 144. Chellaney cited as evidence a map by HydroChina, a Chinese hydro company, that China intends to build the Motuo dam.35. State Council, Guowuyuan guanyu yinfa nengyuan fazhan shierwu guihua de tongzhi, [State Council Announcement on 12th Five-Year Energy Plan], (1 January 2013), available at: http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2013-01/23/content_2318554.htm. China announced the building of a total of 60 dams along its rivers in this plan.36. Holslag, 'Assessing the Sino–Indian water dispute', p. 24.37. Elizabeth Economy, 'Asia's water security crisis: China, India and the United States', in Ashley Tellis, Mercy Kuo and Andrew Marble, eds, Strategic Asia 2008–09: Challenges and Choices (The National Bureau of Asian Research, 2008), p. 384.38.Ibid., p. 385.39. David Kang, 'Hierarchy and stability in the Asia Pacific', in Ikenberry and Mastanduno, eds, International Relations Theory and the Asia–Pacific, pp. 107–162.40. See works by Tu Weiming and Yan Xuetong, Xuetong Yan, Ancient Chinese Thought, Modern Chinese Power (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 2011).41. John Garver, Protracted Contest: Sino–Indian Rivalry in the 20th Century (Seattle, WA: University of Washington Press, 2001).42. Jerry H. Bentley, 'AHR Forum: cross-cultural interaction and periodization in world history', American Historical Review, (June 1996), pp. 753–754.43. J. Mohan Malik, 'China–India relations in the post-Soviet era: the continuing rivalry', The China Quarterly 142, (June 1995), p. 329.44. Brantly Womack, 'Asymmetry theory and China's concept of multipolarity', Journal of Contemporary China 13(39), (May 2004), p. 363.45. 'India outpaces China: winning the world growth cup', The Economist, (15 April 2011), available at: http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2011/04/india_outpaces_china.46. 'Budget 2012–13', The Economic Times, (16 March 2012), available at: http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2012-03-16/news/31201687_1_defence-budget-military-budget-defence-expenditure.47. 'Relief for India as China says no to Brahmaputra diversion', The Times of India, (14 October 2011), available at: http://articles.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/2011-10-14/india/30278545_1_brahmaputra-yarlung-tsangpo-india-and-china.48. Kerry Raymond Bolton, 'Water wars: rivalry over water resources', World Affairs 4(1), (2010), p. 58.49. 'Where China meets India in a high-altitude desert, push comes to shove', The New York Times, (2 May 2013), available at: http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2013-01/23/content_2318554.htm.50. See, for example, M. Taylor Fravel, Strong Borders Secure Nation: Cooperation and Conflict in China's Territorial Disputes (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2008), p. 9.51.Ibid., p. 267.52.Ibid.53. Alastair Iain Johnston, 'Socialization in international institutions: the ASEAN way and international relations theory', in Ikenberry and Mastanduno, eds, International Relations Theory and the Asia–Pacific, pp. 163–190.54. Sebastian Biba, 'Desecuritization in China's behavior towards its transboundary rivers: the Mekong River, the Brahmaputra River, and the Irtysh and Ili Rivers', Journal of Contemporary China doi:10.1080/10670564.2013.809975, 2013.55.Ibid.56. Douglass North, Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990).57. For a list of dialogue and cooperation mechanisms between China and ASEAN, please see http://www.aseansec.org/4979.htm.58. Goh, Developing the Mekong, p. 26.59. Ben Crow and Nirvikar Singh, The Management of International Rivers as Demands Grow and Supplies Tighten: India, China, Nepal, Pakistan, Bangladesh (UC Santa Cruz: Center for Global, International and Regional Studies, 2009), p. 6.60. Huang Yanting, 'Qianxi dameigonghe ciquyu hezuo' ['Analysis of great Mekong sub-region'], Dongnanya congheng 9, (2007).61. Tim Summers, '(Re)positioning Yunnan: region and nation in contemporary provincial narratives', Journal of Contemporary China 21(75), (May 2012), p. 447.62.Ibid., p. 451.63. Peter Cheung and James Tang, 'The external relations of China's provinces', in David Lampton, ed., The Making of Chinese Foreign and Security Policy in the Era of Reform, 1978–2000 (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2001), p. 102.64. Liu Shisong, 'Lancangjiang—meigonghe ciquyu jingji hezuo yu kaifa' ['Subregional economic cooperation and development of Lancang–Mekong River—action Yunnan, China'], Yunnan dili huangjing yanjiu 8(2), (December 1996).65. Cheung and Tang, 'The external relations of China's provinces', p. 101.66. John Dore, Yu Xiaogang and Kevin Yuk-shing Li, 'China's energy reforms and hydropower expansion in Yunnan', in Louis Lebel, John Dore, Rajesh Daniel and Yang Saing Koma, eds, Democratizing Water Governance in the Mekong Region (Chiang Mai: Mekong Press, 2007), p. 65.67.Ibid., p. 56.68. Holslag, 'Assessing the Sino–Indian water dispute', p. 25.69. Li Ling, Xizang zhi shui jiu Zhongguo [Tibet's Waters Will Save China] (Beijing: Zhongguo Chang'an Chu Ban She, 2005).70. Holslag, 'Assessing the Sino–Indian water dispute'.71.Ibid.72. Harold Lasswell, Politics: Who Gets What, When, How (NY: P. Smith, 1950).73. John Waterbury, The Nile Basin: National Determinants of Collective Action (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 2002).74. Kang, 'Hierarchy and stability in the Asia Pacific'.75. Timo Menniken, 'China's performance in international resource politics: lesson from the Mekong', Contemporary Southeast Asia 29(1), (2007), p. 111.76. Fuzuo Wu, 'Sino–Indian climate cooperation: implications for the international climate change regime', Journal of Contemporary China 21(77), (September 2012), p. 841.77. For instance, in 2009, China signed US$1.2 billion worth of investments and aid agreements with Cambodia; available at: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/4b89e260-e7ec-11df-b158-00144feab49a.html#axzz1c5ciKM3Q.78. Dore et al., 'China's energy reforms and hydropower expansion in Yunnan', p. 80.

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