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Reclassification Calculations for Persons With Incomplete Follow-up

2010; American College of Physicians; Volume: 152; Issue: 3 Linguagem: Inglês

10.7326/0003-4819-152-3-201002020-00019

1539-3704

Ewout W. Steyerberg,

Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health

Letters2 February 2010Reclassification Calculations for Persons With Incomplete Follow-upEwout W. Steyerberg, PhD and Michael J. Pencina, PhDEwout W. Steyerberg, PhDFrom Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015, the Netherlands; and Boston University, Boston, MA 02215. and Michael J. Pencina, PhDFrom Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015, the Netherlands; and Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.Author, Article, and Disclosure Informationhttps://doi.org/10.7326/0003-4819-152-3-201002020-00019 SectionsAboutFull TextPDF ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack CitationsPermissions ShareFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditEmail TO THE EDITOR:We applaud Cook and Ridker (1) for their clear discussion of reclassification measures and recent developments in judging the incremental value of a biomarker for prediction of outcome. A key area of application is in cardiovascular disease, in which the time horizon is typically 10 years. One important problem recognized by Cook and Ridker is that not all persons will have follow-up completed until 10 years. Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox regression analysis were introduced long ago to deal with such censored observations. Reclassification measures, such as the net reclassification index (NRI) (2), have been proposed for binary ...References1. Cook NR, Ridker PM. Advances in measuring the effect of individual predictors of cardiovascular risk: the role of reclassification measures. Ann Intern Med. 2009;150:795-802. [PMID: 19487714] LinkGoogle Scholar2. Pencina MJ, D'Agostino RB Sr, D'Agostino RB Jr, Vasan RS. Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: from area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond. Stat Med. 2008;27:157-72; discussion 207-12. [PMID: 17569110] Google Scholar3. Viallon V, Ragusa S, Clavel-Chapelon F, Bénichou J. How to evaluate the calibration of a disease risk prediction tool. Stat Med. 2009;28:901-16. [PMID: 19156698] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar4. Pepe MS, Feng Z, Gu JW. Comments on 'Evaluating the added predictive ability of a new marker: From area under the ROC curve to reclassification and beyond' by M. J. Pencina et al., Statistics in Medicine (DOI: 10.1002/sim.2929). Stat Med. 2008;27:173-81. [PMID: 17671958] CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar Author, Article, and Disclosure InformationAuthors: Ewout W. Steyerberg, PhD; Michael J. Pencina, PhDAffiliations: From Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam 3015, the Netherlands; and Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.Disclosures: None disclosed. PreviousarticleNextarticle Advertisement FiguresReferencesRelatedDetailsSee AlsoAdvances in Measuring the Effect of Individual Predictors of Cardiovascular Risk: The Role of Reclassification Measures Nancy R. Cook and Paul M Ridker Reclassification Calculations for Persons With Incomplete Follow-up Nancy R. Cook and Paul M. 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