Artigo Revisado por pares

Interim analyses in clinical trials: Classical vs. bayesian approaches

1985; Wiley; Volume: 4; Issue: 4 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1002/sim.4780040412

ISSN

1097-0258

Autores

Donald A. Berry,

Tópico(s)

Optimal Experimental Design Methods

Resumo

Abstract This paper concerns interim analysis in clinical trials involving two treatments from the points of view of both classical and Bayesian inference. I criticize classical hypothesis testing in this setting and describe and recommend a Bayesian approach in which sampling stops when the probability that one treatment is the better exceeds a specified value. I consider application to normal sampling analysed in stages and evaluate the gain in average sample number as a function of the number of interim analyses.

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