Comparison of numerical weather prediction solar irradiance forecasts in the US, Canada and Europe
2013; Elsevier BV; Volume: 94; Linguagem: Inglês
10.1016/j.solener.2013.05.005
ISSN1471-1257
AutoresRichard Perez, Elke Lorenz, Sophie Pelland, Mark Beauharnois, Glenn Van Knowe, Karl Hemker, Detlev Heinemann, Jan Remund, Stefan Müller, Wolfgang Traunmüller, Gerald Steinmauer, David Pozo, José A. Ruiz‐Arias, Vicente Lara-Fanego, Lourdes Ramírez, Martín Gastón, Luis Martín-Pomares,
Tópico(s)Photovoltaic System Optimization Techniques
ResumoThis article combines and discusses three independent validations of global horizontal irradiance (GHI) multi-day forecast models that were conducted in the US, Canada and Europe. All forecast models are based directly or indirectly on numerical weather prediction (NWP). Two models are common to the three validation efforts – the ECMWF global model and the GFS-driven WRF mesoscale model – and allow general observations: (1) the GFS-based WRF- model forecasts do not perform as well as global forecast-based approaches such as ECMWF and (2) the simple averaging of models’ output tends to perform better than individual models.
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