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Early warning system to forecast maximum temperature in drinking water distribution systems

2014; UWA Publishing; Volume: 64; Issue: 5 Linguagem: Inglês

10.2166/aqua.2014.040

1365-2087

Claudia Agudelo-Vera, Mirjam Blokker, E.J. Pieterse‐Quirijns,

Urban Stormwater Management Solutions

Research Article| November 24 2014 Early warning system to forecast maximum temperature in drinking water distribution systems C. M. Agudelo-Vera; C. M. Agudelo-Vera 1KWR Watercycle Research Institute, Post Box 1072, Nieuwegein 3430 BB, The Netherlands E-mail: claudia.agudelo-vera@kwrwater.nl Search for other works by this author on: This Site PubMed Google Scholar E. J. M. Blokker; E. J. M. Blokker 1KWR Watercycle Research Institute, Post Box 1072, Nieuwegein 3430 BB, The Netherlands Search for other works by this author on: This Site PubMed Google Scholar E. J. Pieterse-Quirijns E. J. Pieterse-Quirijns 1KWR Watercycle Research Institute, Post Box 1072, Nieuwegein 3430 BB, The Netherlands Search for other works by this author on: This Site PubMed Google Scholar Journal of Water Supply: Research and Technology-Aqua (2015) 64 (5): 496–503. https://doi.org/10.2166/aqua.2014.040 Article history Received: March 19 2014 Accepted: October 21 2014 Views Icon Views Article contents Figures & tables Video Audio Supplementary Data Share Icon Share Facebook Twitter LinkedIn MailTo Tools Icon Tools Cite Icon Cite Permissions Search Site Search Dropdown Menu toolbar search search input Search input auto suggest filter your search All ContentAll JournalsThis Journal Search Advanced Search Citation C. M. Agudelo-Vera, E. J. M. Blokker, E. J. Pieterse-Quirijns; Early warning system to forecast maximum temperature in drinking water distribution systems. Journal of Water Supply: Research and Technology-Aqua 1 August 2015; 64 (5): 496–503. doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/aqua.2014.040 Download citation file: Ris (Zotero) Reference Manager EasyBib Bookends Mendeley Papers EndNote RefWorks BibTex Climate change poses new challenges in preventing the exceedance of the maximum allowed temperature in the drinking water distribution system (DWDS). The objective of this article is to evaluate the feasibility of forecasting the maximum temperature in the DWDS. Two options were analysed: (1) using the records of the last day as forecast for the coming 2 days and (2) using 2-day weather forecast data. The maximum water temperature in the DWDS was modelled for a Dutch city for a warm period during summer 2006. Actual meteorological records and historical weather forecasts were used. Results for the daily maximum temperature for June–July 2006 based on the high resolution limited area model predictions showed a 0.09 °C average mean error and a maximum error of 0.3 °C, while using the last day record as forecasted showed a mean error of 1.09 °C and a maximum error of 2.5 °C. These results indicate that it is possible to predict the daily maximum water temperature in the DWDS using the weather forecast information or using actual records as a short-term prediction. These types of simulations can serve as an 'early warning system' to monitor drinking water temperature for taking measurements to avoid exceeding the maximum allowed temperature. climate change, drinking water quality, drinking water temperature, early warning system, soil temperature © IWA Publishing 2015 You do not currently have access to this content.