Artigo Produção Nacional Revisado por pares

Applying GIS to develop a model for forest fire risk: A case study in Espírito Santo, Brazil

2016; Elsevier BV; Volume: 173; Linguagem: Inglês

10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.02.021

ISSN

1095-8630

Autores

Fernando Coelho Eugênio, Alexandre Rosa dos Santos, Nilton César Fiedler, Carlos Antônio Álvares Soares Ribeiro, Aderbal Gomes da Silva, Áureo Banhos, Greiciane Gaburro Paneto, Vítor Roberto Schettino,

Tópico(s)

Landslides and related hazards

Resumo

A forest fire risk map is a basic element for planning and protecting forested areas. The main goal of this study was to develop a statistical model for preparing a forest fire risk map using GIS. Such model is based on assigning weights to nine variables divided into two classes: physical factors of the site (terrain slope, land-use/occupation, proximity to roads, terrain orientation, and altitude) and climatic factors (precipitation, temperature, water deficit, and evapotranspiration). In regions where the climate is different from the conditions of this study, the model will require an adjustment of the variables weights according to the local climate. The study area, Espírito Santo State, exhibited approximately 3.81% low risk, 21.18% moderate risk, 30.10% high risk, 41.50% very high risk, and 3.40% extreme risk of forest fire. The areas classified as high risk, very high and extreme, contemplated a total of 78.92% of heat spots.

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