A development of theory of errors with reference to economy of time
1965; The National Institute of Standards and Technology; Volume: 69B; Issue: 3 Linguagem: Inglês
10.6028/jres.069b.015
ISSN2376-5283
Autores Tópico(s)Advanced Research in Systems and Signal Processing
ResumoCh urchill EisenhartThis arti cle, a 1914 rev is ion of a 1913 talk , deals with th e sc ie ntific manage me nt of scie ntifi c work.Specifically, it dea ls with stati st ical theory appli ed to ex pe rim e ntation; and e loq ue ntly ill us trates th e main aim of th e appli cation of s tati sti cal th eo ry today: to d e te rmin e th e aJi ocation of s kill s, e ffort, tim e, and money that will ach ieve des ired overall prec is ion and accuracy in expe rim entati on at lowest possible cost unde r exi s ting limitations of equipment, mate rials, and pe rso nn e l.Unti l n ow thi s article has re mained unpubli s hed, at fir s t beca u se of th e di s ruption s of World War I, and later beca use th e auth,o r felt that mos t of hi s coll eagues we re famiLiar with its co ntent from hi s various oral present ation s.It is publi s he d here at thi s tim e, not onl y for its hi s tori cal inte res t, but a lso in th e hope that its time less in struc tions on the e ffi c ie nt plannin g and exec ution of meas ure me nt program s may be usefu l to ex per i. mente rs inman y parts of th e world .An abstract of th e original pape r is give n in th e BAAS Rep ort , Birmin gham , 1913:399-400; but does not contain th e esse ntial formula e, nor, of course, th e de ta il s of th e ir illu s trati ve a ppli cation to particular problems.The formu la e of th e prese nt pape r, and th e illu s trative exa mp les of th e ir appli cati on, we re di sc ussed b y Mr. H e rsey in a lec ture on "The Theo ry of Er rors of Physical Measure• ments" at Harvard Unive rs ity o n Dece mber 6, 1915; and again, mo re fu ll y, in a ser ies of co nfe re nces that he co ndu cted a t th e Nat ional Bureau of S ta ndard s in Jul y 1920, as pa rt of th e work of the Aero• nauti c In s trum e nt s Sectio n , of whi c h he was Ch ief.Th e formula e of th e prese nt pap er we re also includ ed in a li s t of fourt ee n th eo re ms re lat ive to the e rrors of phys ica l meas ure me nts prese nte d by Mr. He rsey in an In forma l Co mmuni cati o n at th e 779th mee tin g of th e P hil oso phi cal Socie ty of Wa s h• ington (D.c.), held at th e Cosmos C lu b on No ve mb e r 25, 1916.Th e s ummary ' of thi s Informal Communi cation (jou rnal oj the Washington Academ,y of Sciences 7: 23 (19 17)) co nta in s th e 're mark , " Th e manu sc ript notes, s uc h as th ey are, a re ava il a b le to any individual inte res ted, " This rema rk led me, ea rl y in May 1965, to address a le tt e r of inquir y to Mr. He rsey, with who m I ha d bee n co rrespo ndin g on th e hi s tory of th e formu la given a s e qu a ti on (10) in th e prese nt pap e r.Th e a uth o r res p ond e d by forwarding a photoco py of hi s 1914 typescript a nd of the long ab strac t that he had se nt to th e Brit is h Assoc ia ti o n in adva nce of th e 1913 mee tin g. , .Th e prese nt pape r s tri c tly follows th e 1914 rev ision, exce pt for th e firs t two paragraph s, which we re the ope nin g paragraphs of th e 1913 long abstract.__ Th e Abstract that precedes th e text of th e paper co ns ists of a rearrangem e nt (and sli ght abriClgme nt) of the abstract published in the 1913 BAAS Report, to co nform to th e orga ni zation of th e prese nt pape r, plu s a n openi ng se nt e nce tak e n from th e body of the 1913 long abst rac t.I have ad d ed th e section numb e rs a nd section he adings, in keepin g with th e prese nt s t yle of t hi s Journal; a nd also a few add iti onal footnot es, which a re id e ntifi ed by m y initials.
Referência(s)