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DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES AND TRENDS: THE CASE OF NORTHEASTERN MONTENEGRO

2016; Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences; Volume: 51; Issue: 3 Linguagem: Inglês

10.18551/rjoas.2016-03.02

2226-1184

Goran Rajović, Jelisavka Bulatović,

Regional Development and Management Studies

This paper analyzes the contemporary demographic processes and trends in the northeastern part of Montenegro, in the case of municipalities: Berane, Petnjica, Andrijevica, Plav and Gusinje.Population analyzed area is characterized by a steady decline in relation to the dynamics of the population Montenegro.Thus in 1948 the population of the observed geospace is seemed 14.17% of the population Montenegro and in 2011 8.41%.The age structure of the population, due to migration and reducing birth rate is changed and takes on unfavorable characteristics -reduces the proportion of younger, while increasing the share of the elderly population.In both cases deranged age structure has feedback influence on the movement of population (size reproductive contingent), but also to all other population structure (size of the working population, the active population, schools compulsory contingent relationship serving a), which are essential for the development of population and economic activity in the region.Despite significant changes in all demographic structure of this part of northeastern Montenegro, maintained, has the characteristics of ethnically very heterogeneous environment.The current demographic situation and future demographic processes that have determined the legality of long-term demographic inertia, has become a limiting factor in the overall economic and social development.