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Extreme events in the La Plata basin: a retrospective analysis of what we have learned during CLARIS-LPB project

2016; Inter-Research Science Center; Volume: 68; Issue: 2-3 Linguagem: Inglês

10.3354/cr01374

1616-1572

Andrea F. Carril, IFA Cavalcanti, Claudio G. Menéndez, Anna A. Sörensson, Noelia López‐Franca, Juan Antonio Rivera, Federico Robledo, Pablo G. Zaninelli, Tércio Ambrizzi, OC Penalba, Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha, Enrique Sánchez, María Laura Bettolli, Natalia Pessacg, M. Renom, Romina Ruscica, Silvina A. Solman, Bárbara Tencer, AM Grimm, Matilde Rusticucci, Annalisa Cherchi, Renata G. Tedeschi, L. Zamboni,

Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics

CR Climate Research Contact the journal Facebook Twitter RSS Mailing List Subscribe to our mailing list via Mailchimp HomeLatest VolumeAbout the JournalEditorsSpecials CR 68:95-116 (2016) - DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01374 Contribution to the CR Special: 'CLARIS-La Plata Basin: climate variability and uncertainties' Extreme events in the La Plata basin: a retrospective analysis of what we have learned during CLARIS-LPB project Andrea F. Carril1,2,*, Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti3, C. G. Menéndez1,2,4, A. Sörensson1,2, N. López-Franca1,2, J. A. Rivera2,9, F. Robledo1,2, P. G. Zaninelli1,2, T. Ambrizzi5, O. C. Penalba2,4, R. P. da Rocha5, E. Sánchez6, M. L. Bettolli2,4, N. Pessacg7, M. Renom8, R. Ruscica1,2, S. Solman1,2,4, B. Tencer10, A. M. Grimm11, M. Rusticucci2,4, A. Cherchi12, R. Tedeschi3, L. Zamboni13 Author affiliations Author affiliations 1Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CIMA/CONICET-UBA), C1428EGA Buenos Aires, Argentina 2Instituto Franco-Argentino para el Estudio del Clima y sus Impactos (UMI IFAECI/CNRS), C1428EGA Buenos Aires, Argentina 3Center for Weather Forecast and Climate Studies/National Institute of Space Research (CPTEC/INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, 12600-000 São Paulo, Brazil 4Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos (DCAO/FCEN), Universidad de Buenos Aires, C1428EGA Buenos Aires, Argentina 5Instituto de Astronomia, Geofísica e Ciências Atmosféricas, Departamento de Ciências Atmosféricas, Universidade de São Paulo, 05508-090 Brazil 6Facultad Ciencias Ambientales y Bioquímica, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, 45071 Toledo, Spain 7Centro Nacional Patagónico (CENPAT/CONICET), Puerto Madryn, U9120ACF Chubut, Argentina 8Unidad de Ciencias de la Atmósfera, Instituto de Física, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de la República, 11400 Montevideo, Uruguay 9Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales (IANIGLA/CONICET), 5500 Mendoza, Argentina 10School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria, Victoria, V8P 5C2 British Columbia, Canada 11Department of Physics, Federal University of Paraná, 81531-980 Curitiba, Brazil 12Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, and Istituto Nazionale di Geofìsica e Vulcanologìa, 40127 Bologna, Italy 13Mathematics and Computer Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, Illinois 60439, USA *Corresponding author: carril@cima.fcen.uba.ar ABSTRACT: Extreme climate events over the La Plata basin (LPB) can produce significant impacts due to the importance of the regional agriculture and hydroelectric power production for the local economy. Progress on describing, projecting and understanding extremes in LPB, in the framework of the CLARIS-LPB Europe-South America Network for Climate Change Assessment and Impact Studies in La Plata Basin Project, are reviewed. The paper is based on recent studies and publications, as well as some new diagnostics as indicators of works in progress, and can be considered as an update for the LPB region of previous reviews by Cavalcanti et al. (2015; J Hydrol 523:211–230) and Rusticucci (2012; Atmos Res 106:1–17. Despite the significant advances on regional extremes, some gaps have been identified, and many challenges remain. Much of the recent progress considers temperature and precipitation extremes on timescales varying from synoptic to long-term variability and climate change, essential for impact and vulnerability assessments. Research lines on extremes requiring further efforts include the relative roles of local versus remote forcings, the impact of land use and land management changes, the specific role of soil moisture and land-atmosphere feedbacks as catalysts for heat waves, the impact of the local inhomogeneities in soil moisture, feedback and uncertainties in projections of extremes, as well as seasonal forecast and climate change attribution studies. We suggest combining intensive monitoring and modelling to address these issues. KEY WORDS: Temperature extremes · Precipitation extremes · La Plata Basin · Climate models · Regional climate change Full text in pdf format PreviousNextCite this article as: Carril AF, Cavalcanti IFA, Menéndez CG, Sörensson A and others (2016) Extreme events in the La Plata basin: a retrospective analysis of what we have learned during CLARIS-LPB project. Clim Res 68:95-116. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01374 Export citation RSS - Facebook - Tweet - linkedIn Cited by Published in CR Vol. 68, No. 2-3. Online publication date: May 04, 2016 Print ISSN: 0936-577X; Online ISSN: 1616-1572 Copyright © 2016 Inter-Research.