Changing climate shifts timing of European floods
2017; American Association for the Advancement of Science; Volume: 357; Issue: 6351 Linguagem: Inglês
10.1126/science.aan2506
ISSN1095-9203
AutoresGünter Blöschl, Julia Hall, Juraj Párajka, Rui A. P. Perdigão, Bruno Merz, Berit Arheimer, Giuseppe Tito Aronica, Ardian Bilibashi, Ognjen Bonacci, Marco Borga, Ivan Čanjevac, Attilio Castellarin, Giovanni Battista Chirico, Pierluigi Claps, Károly Fiala, Н. Л. Фролова, Liudmyla Gorbachova, Ali Gül, Jamie Hannaford, Shaun Harrigan, Maria Kireeva, Andrea Kiss, Thomas Kjeldsen, Silvia Kohnová, Jarkko Koskela, Ondřej Ledvinka, Neil Macdonald, Maria Mavrova-Guirguinova, Luis Mediero, Ralf Merz, Péter Molnár, Alberto Montanari, Conor Murphy, Marzena Osuch, Valeriya Ovcharuk, Иван Радевски, Magdalena Rogger, José Luis Salinas, Éric Sauquet, Mojca Šraj, Ján Szolgay, Alberto Viglione, Elena Volpi, Donna Wilson, Klodian Zaimi, Nenad Živković,
Tópico(s)Flood Risk Assessment and Management
ResumoFlooding along the river Will a warming climate affect river floods? The prevailing sentiment is yes, but a consistent signal in flood magnitudes has not been found. Blöschl et al. analyzed the timing of river floods in Europe over the past 50 years and found clear patterns of changes in flood timing that can be ascribed to climate effects (see the Perspective by Slater and Wilby). These variations include earlier spring snowmelt floods in northeastern Europe, later winter floods around the North Sea and parts of the Mediterranean coast owing to delayed winter storms, and earlier winter floods in western Europe caused by earlier soil moisture maxima. Science , this issue p. 588 see also p. 552
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