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GERD Failure Analysis and the Impacts on Downstream Countries

2017; Springer Nature; Linguagem: Inglês

10.1007/698_2017_135

1867-979X

Ahmed Hussein Soliman, Alaa El Zawahry, Hesham M. Bekhit,

Transboundary Water Resource Management

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is one of the major dams under construction on the Nile River. Currently, there is a lot of confusion about the impacts of GERD on downstream countries (Sudan and Egypt). One of the major impacts on downstream countries that has attracted a lot of debate is the impact of GERD failure. This paper aims to investigate the impacts of GERD failure in downstream regions using the International River Interface Cooperative (IRIC) two-dimensional analysis model. The study reveals that there could be a catastrophic effect on Sudan especially Roseires, Sennar, and Merowe dams in addition to Al Khartoum City. Also, the study shows that the Aswan High Dam (AHD) will be at risk.