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Species Distribution Modelling: Contrasting presence-only models with plot abundance data

2018; Nature Portfolio; Volume: 8; Issue: 1 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1038/s41598-017-18927-1

2045-2322

Vitor H. F. Gomes, Stéphanie D. IJff, Niels Raes, Iêda Leão do Amaral, Rafael P. Salomão, Luiz de Souza Coêlho, Francisca Dionízia de Almeida Matos, Carolina V. Castilho, Diógenes de Andrade Lima Filho, Dairon Cárdenas López, Juan Ernesto Guevara, William E. Magnusson, Oliver L. Phillips, Florian Wittmann, Marcelo de Jesus Veiga Carim, Maria Pires Martins, Mariana Victória Irume, Daniel Sabatier, Jean‐François Molino, Olaf Bánki, José Renan da Silva Guimarães, Nigel C. A. Pitman, Maria Teresa Fernandez Piedade, Abel Monteagudo Mendoza, Bruno Garcia Luize, Eduardo Martins Venticinque, Evlyn Márcia Moraes de Leão Novo, Percy Núñez Vargas, Thiago Sanna Freire Silva, Ângelo Gilberto Manzatto, John Terborgh, Neidiane Farias Costa Reis, Juan Carlos Montero, Katia Regina Casula, Beatriz Schwantes Marimon, Ben Hur Marimon, Eurídice N. Honorio Coronado, Ted R. Feldpausch, Alvaro Duque, Charles E. Zartman, Nicolás Castaño Arboleda, Timothy J. Killeen, Bonifacio Mostacedo, Rodolfo Vásquez, Jochen Schöngart, Rafael L. Assis, Marcelo Brilhante de Medeiros, Marcelo Fragomeni Simon, Ana Andrade, William F. Laurance, José Luís Camargo, Layon Oreste Demarchi, Susan G. Laurance, Bruno Sousa, Henrique Eduardo Mendonça Nascimento, Juan David Cardenas Revilla, Adriano Costa Quaresma, Flávia R. C. Costa, Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra, Hernán Castellanos, Roel Brienen, Pablo R. Stevenson, Yuri Oliveira Feitosa, Joost F. Duivenvoorden, Gerardo A. Aymard C., Hugo F. Mogollón, Natália Targhetta, James A. Comiskey, Alberto Vicentini, Aline Lopes, Gabriel Damasco, Nállarett Dávila, Roosevelt García‐Villacorta, Carolina Levis, Juliana Schietti, Priscila Souza, Thaíse Emilio, Alfonso Alonso, David Neill, Francisco Dallmeier, Leandro Valle Ferreira, Alejandro Araujo‐Murakami, Daniel P. P. de Aguiar, Dário Dantas do Amaral, Fernanda Antunes Carvalho, Fernanda Coelho de Souza, Kenneth J. Feeley, Luzmila Arroyo, Marcelo Petratti Pansonato, Rogério Gribel, Boris Villa, Juan Carlos Licona, Paul V. A. Fine, Carlos Cerón, Christopher Baraloto, E. Jiménez, Juliana Stropp, Julien Engel, Marcos Silveira, María Cristina Peñuela Mora, Pascal Pétronelli, Paul Maas, Raquel Thomas‐Caesar, Terry W. Henkel, Doug Daly, Marcos Ríos Paredes, Timothy R. Baker, Alfredo Fuentes, Carlos A. Peres, Jérôme Chave, José Luís Marcelo Peña, Kyle G. Dexter, Miles R. Silman, Peter Møller Jørgensen, R. Toby Pennington, Anthony Di Fiore, Fernando Cornejo Valverde, Juan Fernando Phillips, Gonzalo Rivas‐Torres, Patricio von Hildebrand, Tinde van Andel, Ademir Roberto Ruschel, Adriana Prieto, Agustín Rudas, Bruce Hoffman, César I. A. Vela, Edelcílio Marques Barbosa, Eglée L. Zent, George Pepe Gallardo Gonzales, Hilda Paulette Dávila Doza, Íres Paula de Andrade Miranda, Jean‐Louis Guillaumet, Linder Felipe Mozombite Pinto, Luiz Carlos de Matos Bonates, Natalino Silva, Ricardo Zárate Gómez, Stanford Zent, Therany Gonzales, Vincent Antoine Vos, Yadvinder Malhi, Alexandre A. Oliveira, Ángela Cano, Bianca Weiss Albuquerque, Corine Vriesendorp, Diego F. Correa, Emilio Vilanova, Geertje van der Heijden, Hirma Ramírez‐Angulo, José Ferreira Ramos, Kenneth R. Young, Maira Rocha, Marcelo Trindade Nascimento, María Natalia Umaña Medina, Milton Tirado, Ophelia Wang, Rodrigo Sierra, Armando Torres‐Lezama, Casimiro Mendoza, Cid Ferreira, Cláudia Baider, Daniel Villarroel, Henrik Balslev, Italo Mesones, Ligia Estela Urrego Giraldo, Luisa Fernanda Casas, Manuel Augusto Ahuite Reategui, Reynaldo Linares‐Palomino, Roderick Zagt, Sasha Cárdenas, William Farfan‐Ríos, Adeilza Felipe Sampaio, Daniela Pauletto, Elvis H. Valderrama Sandoval, Freddy Ramírez Arévalo, Isau Huamantupa‐Chuquimaco, Karina García‐Cabrera, Lionel Hernández, Luis Valenzuela Gamarra, Miguel N. Alexiades, Susamar Pansini, Walter Palacios Cuenca, William Milliken, Joana Ricardo, Gabriela López‐González, Edwin Pos, Hans ter Steege,

Genetic diversity and population structure

Abstract Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used in ecology and conservation. Presence-only SDMs such as MaxEnt frequently use natural history collections (NHCs) as occurrence data, given their huge numbers and accessibility. NHCs are often spatially biased which may generate inaccuracies in SDMs. Here, we test how the distribution of NHCs and MaxEnt predictions relates to a spatial abundance model, based on a large plot dataset for Amazonian tree species, using inverse distance weighting (IDW). We also propose a new pipeline to deal with inconsistencies in NHCs and to limit the area of occupancy of the species. We found a significant but weak positive relationship between the distribution of NHCs and IDW for 66% of the species. The relationship between SDMs and IDW was also significant but weakly positive for 95% of the species, and sensitivity for both analyses was high. Furthermore, the pipeline removed half of the NHCs records. Presence-only SDM applications should consider this limitation, especially for large biodiversity assessments projects, when they are automatically generated without subsequent checking. Our pipeline provides a conservative estimate of a species’ area of occupancy, within an area slightly larger than its extent of occurrence, compatible to e.g. IUCN red list assessments.