Early Postoperative Actigraphy Poorly Predicts Hypoactive Delirium
2019; American Academy of Sleep Medicine; Volume: 15; Issue: 01 Linguagem: Inglês
10.5664/jcsm.7576
ISSN1550-9397
AutoresHannah Maybrier, Christopher R. King, Amanda E. Crawford, Angela M. Mickle, Daniel A. Emmert, Troy S. Wildes, Michael S. Avidan, Ben Julian A. Palanca,
Tópico(s)Anesthesia and Neurotoxicity Research
ResumoFree AccessSurgery - Polysomnography - Actigraphy - Scientific InvestigationsEarly Postoperative Actigraphy Poorly Predicts Hypoactive Delirium Hannah R. Maybrier, BS, C. Ryan King, MD, PhD, Amanda E. Crawford, Angela M. Mickle, MS, Daniel A. Emmert, MD, PhD, Troy S. Wildes, MD, Michael S. Avidan, MBBCh, Ben Julian A. Palanca, MD, PhD, MSc, for the ENGAGES Study Investigators Hannah R. Maybrier, BS Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri , C. Ryan King, MD, PhD Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri , Amanda E. Crawford Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri , Angela M. Mickle, MS Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri , Daniel A. Emmert, MD, PhD Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri Department of Surgery, Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri , Troy S. Wildes, MD Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri , Michael S. Avidan, MBBCh Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri Department of Surgery, Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri , Ben Julian A. Palanca, MD, PhD, MSc Address correspondence to: Dr. Ben Julian A. Palanca, Washington University School of Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology, Division of Biology and Biomedical Sciences, 660 S. Euclid Ave, Campus Box 8054, St. Louis, MO 63110-1093(314) 362-7832(314) 747-3977 E-mail Address: [email protected] Department of Anesthesiology, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri Division of Biology and Biomedical Sciences, Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri , for the ENGAGES Study Investigators Published Online:January 15, 2019https://doi.org/10.5664/jcsm.7576Cited by:1SectionsAbstractPDFSupplemental Material ShareShare onFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditEmail ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack Citations AboutABSTRACTStudy Objectives:Delirium is a postoperative complication accompanied by disturbances in attention, cognition, arousal, and psychomotor activity. Wrist actigraphy has been advocated to study inactivity and inferred sleep patterns during delirium. We hypothesized that altered patterns of motor activity or immobility, reflective of disordered sleep and wakefulness patterns, would serve as predictive markers of hypoactive postoperative delirium.Methods:Eighty-four elderly surgical patients were classified into three groups based on the timing of hypoactive delirium following surgery: intact with no delirium throughout postoperative days (POD) 0–5 (n = 51), delirium during POD 0–1 (n = 24), and delirium during POD 2–5 (n = 13). Delirium was detected on daily Confusion Assessment Method evaluations and chart review. Actigraphy measures were calculated from accelerometry signals acquired on the first postoperative day (POD 0, 16:00–23:00) and night (POD 0, 23:00–POD 1, 06:00).Results:Actigraphy metrics showed substantial interpatient variability. Among the three patient groups, only those without delirium showed greater movement during the day compared to night and also fewer minutes of night immobility (P = .03 and P = .02, Wilcoxon rank-sum tests). These patients were poorly discriminated from those with delirium during either POD 0–1 or POD 2–5, using differences in day and night activity (C-statistic, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.66 [0.53–0.79] and C-statistic, 95% CI: 0.71 [0.55–0.87], respectively). Inclusion of low-frequency signals improved performance of immobility measures without affecting those based on activity. Cognitively intact patients during POD 0–5 were distinguished from those with delirium during POD 0–1, based on differences in the number of day and night immobile minutes (C-statistic 0.65, 95% CI: [0.53–0.78]). Actigraphy metrics with the strongest association to delirium incidence were not reliably correlated with an increased risk during POD 0–5, when accounting for patient age, sex, intensive care unit admission, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (adjusted odds ratio of 1.7, 95% CI: [1.0–3.0], P = .09, likelihood ratio test).Conclusions:Early postoperative wrist actigraphy metrics that serve as markers of sleep and wakefulness offer limited capacity as sole predictors or markers of hypoactive delirium.Clinical Trial Registration:Registry: ClinicalTrials.gov; Title: Electroencephalography Guidance of Anesthesia to Alleviate Geriatric Syndromes (ENGAGES) Study; Identifier: NCT02241655; URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02241655Citation:Maybrier HR, King CR, Crawford AE, Mickle AM, Emmert DA, Wildes TS, Avidan MS, Palanca BJ; ENGAGES Study Investigators. Early postoperative actigraphy poorly predicts hypoactive delirium. J Clin Sleep Med. 2019;15(1):79–87.BRIEF SUMMARYCurrent Knowledge/Study Rationale: Delirium is associated with alterations of sleep and psychomotor activity. Immobility and activity measures derived from wrist actigraphy in the early postoperative period have unknown utility for predicting delirium in high-risk patients.Study Impact: Markers of activity and immobility had only weak discriminative capacity for concurrent delirium and poorly predicted those with subsequent delirium. These data suggest that actigraphy within the first 24 hours after surgery is unlikely to be useful for delirium prediction.INTRODUCTIONDelirium is a frequent surgical complication defined by acute impairments in attention and cognition.1 This syndrome is also commonly accompanied by disruptions in psychomotor activity2 and sleep architecture. Putative risk factors for delirium after surgery include preoperative3,4 and postoperative5 disruptions of sleep architecture and circadian rhythms.6 In a small case series, postoperative patients with delirium show similar levels of motor activity during day and night, providing more evidence that sleep disturbances may accompany this complication.7,8 Sleep quality may be a modifiable risk factor that can be intervened upon in the perioperative period, as temporal relationship to the onset of delirium has mechanistic and clinical implications.Actigraphy can reveal altered sleep-wake patterns that may precede or coincide with delirium.9–11 This inexpensive, noninvasive technique has been validated against polysomnography for identifying periods of sleep and wakefulness. Wrist actigraphy can also detect circadian motor activity patterns10 that may reflect delirium risk.3,7,8 It is unknown whether wrist actigraphy measurements acquired within the first 24 hours after surgery can predict subsequent delirium. Standardized approaches to analyzing actigraphy data in the early postoperative period would also need to account for potential activity restrictions, due to pain, monitoring and intravenous devices, or sanctioned bed rest. Although the inclusion of lower frequency of accelerometer signals has been explored in patients with limited mobility,12–17 it is not known whether this approach improves discriminative capacity of actigraphy markers for delirium.The goal of this exploratory study is to evaluate whether actigraphy measures based on the first day and night after surgery, would mark or predict hypoactive delirium. The prevalent hypoactive delirium subtype is accompanied by psychomotor retardation, rather than the agitation2 associated with nocturnal hyperactivity or "sundowning."18 A group with hypoactive delirium may provide a more homogenous motor phenotype, with slower or fewer movements compared to other subtypes. We hypothesized that altered patterns of motor activity or im-mobility, that reflect sleep and wakefulness patterns, would allow us to discriminate the presence and timing of hypoactive postoperative delirium. Therefore, we used metrics of activity and immobility as surrogate measures of sleep, in lieu of software-based scoring.METHODSPatients and RecruitmentAll patients were enrolled in the recently completed study of Electroencephalography Guidance of Anesthesia to Alleviate Geriatric Syndromes (ENGAGES, NCT02241655). This prospective randomized controlled trial was designed to test whether avoidance of electroencephalographic suppression during surgery is associated with a lower incidence of postoperative delirium.19 ENGAGES was approved by the Human Research Protection Office at the Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis. Patients enrolled in ENGAGES were at least 60 years of age and scheduled for major elective surgery under general anesthesia. This substudy of ENGAGES was conducted between January 19, 2015 and September 14, 2015 and halted due to equipment availability. Complete actigraphy recordings were collected from 114 patients. Eighty-three patients were included in our final data set; reasons for exclusion are detailed in Figure 1. Those who demonstrated only hyperactive or mixed subtypes were excluded from analyses. Patients were not withdrawn due to arm restraints (n = 6).Figure 1: Enrollment flow chart.* = 5 patients included in both groups. POD = postoperative day.Download FigureDelirium Assessments and ClassificationDetermination of delirium was based on validated bedside clinical instruments and review of medical records. Trained research staff determined whether delirium was present, using the Confusion Assessment Method (CAM) or the Intensive Care Unit (CAM-ICU) version.20,21 The CAM was used for all verbally responsive patients, whereas the CAM-ICU was used for those who were intubated or otherwise nonverbal. Assessments on postoperative day (POD) 0 were completed at least 2 hours after completion of surgery. Daily assessments were then performed between 13:00 and 20:00 through postoperative day 5 (POD 5) or hospital discharge. We supplemented the sensitivity for our primary outcome by employing a validated review of participants' electronic medical record for evidence of delirium.22 Nursing CAM-ICU assessments from each 12-hour shift and Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale23 scores were incorporated in the review to assess abnormal psychomotor activity.Patients were also grouped according to the presence and timing of delirium (Figure 1). Delirium motor subtypes include hypoactive, hyperactive, and mixed.2 Patients were categorized as hypoactive if they displayed psychomotor retardation or a decreased level of consciousness. Those with psychomotor agitation or hypervigilance were categorized with the hyperactive form. The infrequent mixed subtype was reserved for patients who displayed both hyperactive and hypoactive characteristics within the same interview. Patients with delirium were further categorized relative to the day of surgery, as either concurrent (POD 0–1) or after actigraphy measurements (POD 2–5). Our three groups included: no delirium on all postoperative assessments (Intact POD 0–5, n = 57), hypoactive delirium incident on the day of surgery or on postoperative day 1 (Delirium POD 0–1, n = 19), hypoactive delirium during the interval from postoperative days 2 through 5 (Delirium POD 2–5, n = 13). Five patients were included in both Delirium groups, given presentation of hypoactive delirium during both POD 0–1 and POD 2–5.Actigraphy Acquisition and PreprocessingAlthough actigraphy is relatively inexpensive to acquire, a short time window within the first 24 hours after surgery was selected based on the rationale that early changes in motor activity patterns would lend clinical utility for intervention. The following three actigraphy bracelet models provided accelerometry signals: ASPW wActiSleep Plus, ASPB, and wGT3XBT (ActiGraph Corp., Pensacola, Florida, United States). Patients wore one of these devices on their nondominant wrist immediately following their procedure until removal on POD 1. Accelerometer signals, acquired by these devices at 30 Hz sampling rate, were both preprocessed and exported through ActiLife software (v6.11.5, ActiGraph Corp). Specifics of data filtering and detection of counts in ActiLife have not been fully disclosed by the manufacturer. Counts were calculated from the filtered accelerometry time-series,24 summed within 1-minute bins, and exported in comma-separated value (CSV) formatted data files.We considered whether the exclusion of low frequencies during preprocessing of accelerometry signals would reduce the discriminability of actigraphy markers for hypoactive delirium. Prior investigations suggested that the inclusion of low frequency signals might increase sensitivity of these devices for detecting movement.12–17 These lower frequencies are routinely excluded during the processing of raw accelerometer signals to filter out noise and signal drift, prior to quantification of activity counts. For ActiGraph devices, activation of the Low Frequency Extension (LFE) reduces the high-pass filter cutoff frequency for attenuating lower frequencies. If lower amplitude motion is contained in these lower frequencies, either sensitivity for detecting movement or specificity for quantifying immobility may be improved. Relatively impaired limb movements may be expected in elderly patients who have recently undergone major surgery. Thus, we performed analyses, with and without the LFE active, to determine if discriminability among patient groups could be improved through the inclusion of lower signal frequencies.Actigraphy MeasuresFollowing data import of ActiLife-exported CSV data files, subsequent analyses were performed using MATLAB software (Mathworks, Natick, Massachusetts, United States) toolboxes and custom-written scripts. Measures of root mean-squared activity (RMSactivity) were calculated by combining counts (binned in 1-minute intervals) across all three accelerometer axes (X, Y, and Z): Actigraphy metrics from both day and night periods may show aberrant patterns indicating altered sleep-wake cycles. Using similar boundaries as other investigators, we defined the daytime epoch as POD 0 16:00–23:00, and the nighttime epoch as POD 0 23:00 to POD 1 06:00.8 For each patient and epoch, we calculated actigraphy metrics to quantify both the extent of movement and immobility. In contrast to our prior approach that combined epochs of inactivity (RMSactivity equal to 0) and periods of activity (RMSactivity greater than 0),25 immobility and activity metrics were assayed separately for direct comparison to existing literature. Median activity count (MAC) was calculated from all minutes with nonzero RMS activity within each epoch. For each patient, median rather than mean26,27 was taken given the likely skew in the activity count distribution during each patient's recording. MACDay-Night assesses the difference in activity between day and night.28 Patients active during the day and with minimal movement and sleep microarousals at night would have strongly positive MACDay-Night measures.As the hypoactive subtype of delirium is associated with psychomotor retardation and a reduced level of arousal,29 we reasoned that the extent of inactivity would also serve as a useful marker. We quantified inactivity using the number of immobile minutes (NOIM), defined as the total number of minutes with an RMSactivity count of zero.7,8 Analogous to our measures for movement within each time epoch, NOIM were calculated for the day (NOIMDay) and night (NOIMNight). The total duration over both periods (NOIMTotal) and the difference in nighttime and daytime minutes (NOIMNight-Day) were also derived. We assumed that NOIM would serve as a reasonable surrogate for minutes of sleep and that NOIMNight-Day would be positive for patients who slept less in the daytime.Statistical AnalysesNonparametric statistical approaches were applied using MATLAB functions and custom-written scripts. Because this was an exploratory hypothesis-generating study, no sample size calculations were performed. Median and interquartile ranges were calculated for activity and immobility measurements.30 In comparing patient characteristics, Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used to assess differences in age or Charlson Comorbidity Index, whereas chi-square tests were applied to evaluate differences in proportions of females or postoperative admission to the ICU. Wilcoxon rank-sum tests assessed differences in median actigraphy measures, without correction of α for multiple comparisons. We used the concordance statistic (C-statistic) to discriminate actigraphy metrics between groups. To calculate the C-statistic, we calculated the area under the curve (AUC) generated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The C-statistic indicates the performance at distinguishing two groups across varied thresholds of sensitivity and specificity, ranging from chance (0.5) to ideal (1.0). Ninety-five percent confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using bootstrapping (MATLAB "bootci" function, 1,000 iterations, normal approximated interval with bootstrap bias and standard error). CI excluding 0.5 would be consistent with discriminability above chance.Odds ratios were also computed using logistic regression to assess the relationships between standardized (z-scored) actigraphy measures and delirium at any point during POD 0–5. Univariate models included all activity and immobility measures, with and without LFE. Multivariable logistical regression models were then constructed to determine the optimal performance based on the top three measures. We used L1 penalized (lasso) logistic regression with z-scored actigraphy measures as predictors and the outcome being delirium at any point during the interval of POD 0–5. These analyses were implemented in the "glmnet" R package. The penalty parameter was chosen by leave-one-out cross-validation. This approach yielded a top set of actigraphy metrics. We report estimated joint odds ratio (OR) for these variables by usual logistic regression, along with CIs and likelihood ratio P values.RESULTSDifferential Activity Between Day and Night May Predict Hypoactive DeliriumWe compared motor activity measures among three groups of patients designated by presence and timing of delirium: no hypoactive postoperative delirium during POD 0–5 (Intact POD 0–5 group, n = 51), hypoactive postoperative delirium in the POD 0–1 interval (Delirium POD 0–1 group, n = 24), and hypo-active delirium during the POD 2–5 period (Delirium POD 2–5 group, n = 13). Demographic characteristics of these patients are provided in Table 1. These groups had no significant differences in median Charlson Comorbidity Index31 or age (P > .05 for all comparisons, Wilcoxon rank-sum test). There were no significant differences in sex between groups (P > .05 for all comparisons, chi-square test). Compared to those intact on POD 0–5, a higher proportion of postoperative ICU admission was noted in those with delirium on POD 0–1 (P = .02, chi-square test) and POD 2–5 (P = .03, chi-square test).Table 1 Patient demographics.Table 1 Patient demographics.Activity counts over 1-minute epochs showed substantial variability in the timing and number of counts across patients within the first 14 hours after surgery (over eight orders of magnitude, Figure 2A). For the Intact POD 0–5 group, greater MACs are observed during the daytime (16:00–23:00) than for the nighttime (23:00–06:00, Figure 2A). Only the Intact POD 0–5 cohort showed a significant difference between day and night activity (MACDay-Night, 75 × 103 counts compared to 41 × 103 counts, P = .03, Wilcoxon rank-sum test). Thus, this surrogate marker of an intact sleep-wake cycle was only observed in the group without detectable delirium throughout POD 0–5 (Table 2).Figure 2: Temporal profiles of activity and immobility for patients categorized based on delirium onset relative to postoperative day.Each row depicts measures from an individual, with patients separated into three groups: Intact POD 0–5, Delirium POD 0–1, and Delirium POD 2–5. Participants in each group are arranged in descending order from top to bottom by total daytime activity counts. Color scale indicates the magnitude of activity counts within a 1-minute interval. (A) Actigraphy measures were calculated for two epochs, Daytime (1600–2300, POD 0) and Nighttime (2300, POD 0 - 0600, POD 1). Activity counts at 1-minute increments are plotted on a logarithmic scale due to the range across measurements. MN = midnight. (B) Time course of 1-minute increments classified as patients being either immobile (black) or active (white). POD = postoperative day.Download FigureCompared to cognitively intact patients, those with hypoactive delirium during POD 0–1 were expected to show reduced motor activity, related to psychomotor retardation during concurrent actigraphy. No significant differences were observed for MACDay, MACNight, or MACTotal when comparing patients in the Intact POD 0–5 and Delirium POD 0–1 groups. MACDay-Night differed between patients who were intact during POD 0–5 and patients with delirium over the interval from POD 0–1 (21 × 103 compared to −2 × 103 counts, P = .03, Wilcoxon rank-sum test).Patients presenting with hypoactive delirium during POD 2–5 could have a prodromal period of reduced motor activity. Instead, comparisons between patients Intact POD 0–5 and Delirium POD 2–5 groups showed no significant differences in MAC between time epochs (P > .05, Wilcoxon rank-sum test). However, the difference between day and night (MACDay-Night) was greater among those of the Intact POD 0–5 compared to Delirium POD 2–5 (21 × 103 compared to −5 × 103 counts, P = .02, Wilcoxon rank-sum test).Greater Durations of Immobility May Accompany Hypoactive DeliriumWe reasoned that the NOIM28 would complement graded continuous measures of motor activity. Like our measures of motor activity, NOIM measures showed substantial inter-patient variability (Figure 2B). In contrast to the MAC measures, there were no significance differences between NOIMDay and NOIMNight within patients who were intact during POD 0–5 (Table 2, Wilcoxon rank-sum test, all P > .05). Furthermore, there were no significant differences in NOIM measures among any of the groups (Wilcoxon rank-sum test, all P > .05). Thus, with the default actigraphy signal preprocessing, NOIM did not distinguish epochs of day and night, nor groups defined by the presence of postoperative delirium.Table 2 Median activity counts and number of immobile minutes during daytime, nighttime, and combined epochs.Table 2 Median activity counts and number of immobile minutes during daytime, nighttime, and combined epochs.Inclusion of Low Frequencies May Enhance Immobility MeasuresActivation of the low frequency extension (LFE) allowed the processing of lower signal frequencies that are conventionally attenuated prior to the detection of activity counts. Inclusion of these lower frequencies could potentially affect the specificity of immobility metrics (see Methods). Differences in temporal profiles of activity and immobility at an individual patient level were difficult to discern (Figure S1 in the supplemental material). Relationships of MAC measures within or between patient groups were unchanged with LFE active (Table 3) compared to identical analyses with LFE inactive (Table 2). High variability persisted in NOIMDay and NOIMNight epochs (Table 3). In contrast to our previous analysis with the LFE inactive, paired comparisons for patients intact during POD 0–5 showed a greater NOIMNight compared to NOIMDay (269 compared to 253 minutes, Wilcoxon rank-sum test, P = .02). This finding was mirrored by lower interquartile ranges for NOIMDay (LFE inactive: 140 minutes, LFE active: 125 minutes) and greater intra-individual NOIMNight-Day for patients in this group. Overall, these results are consistent with LFE activation conferring greater NOIM specificity for detecting immobility and sleep.Table 3 Median activity counts and number of immobile minutes during daytime, nighttime, and combined epochs with LFE active.Table 3 Median activity counts and number of immobile minutes during daytime, nighttime, and combined epochs with LFE active.NOIMNight-Day was greater in patients without delirium compared to those with delirium on POD 0–1 (Table 3, P = .03, Wilcoxon rank-sum test). Otherwise, there were no differences in the median NOIMNight, NOIMTotal, or NOIMDay between groups with the LFE (Wilcoxon rank-sum test, all P < .05). Similarly, with the LFE active, comparisons of NOIM measures between patients with delirium during POD 2–5 and those without delirium POD 0–5 yielded no significant differences. Thus, overall, while implementation of the LFE may aid in detecting immobile periods, the magnitude of the effects between groups remain small and of questionable clinical utility.Discriminability for Early and Late Hypoactive Delirium Based on Activity and Immobility MeasuresTo address how well actigraphy measures could discriminate between patient outcome groups, we calculated C-statistics following ROC analyses. We focused on the day-night difference metrics that previously showed differences between groups. C-statistic and confidence intervals for MAC and NOIM measures (LFE active) are provided in Table 4. MACDay-Night poorly discriminated patients who were Intact POD 0–5 from those with delirium (POD 0–1: C-statistic 0.66, 95% CI: [0.53–0.79]; POD 2–5: C-statistic 0.71, 95% CI: [0.55–0.87]). All other comparisons of MACDay, MACDay-Night, MACNight, and MACTotal had confidence intervals overlapping 0.5, suggesting no capacity for distinguishing between patients intact during POD 0–5 and those with delirium during the same period. Overall, the contrast of activity between day and night was poorly predictive for the presence of delirium during either POD 0–1 or POD 2–5.Table 4 Discriminability between groups based on median activity counts or number of immobile minutes.Table 4 Discriminability between groups based on median activity counts or number of immobile minutes.Measures of immobility were also assessed for discriminative capacity. Using NOIMNight-Day, patients with delirium during POD 0–1 were discriminated from patients intact during POD 0–5 (C-statistic for either 0.65, 95% CI: [0.53–0.78]) However, NOIMNight, NOIMDay and NOIMTotal did not effectively distinguish actigraphy measures among these two groups (data not shown), as the CIs for C-statistic included 0.5. Thus, NOIM based on night actigraphy measures alone may be informative but is only a poor marker for early delirium during POD 0–1. Without the LFE active, measures of immobility did not allow discrimination between patient groups while activity measures remained poorly effective (Table S1 in the supplemental material). Comparisons of NOIM measures for patients in the Delirium POD 2–5 and Intact POD 0–5 groups show discriminative performance no better than chance. Use of LFE, as a technical advancement to improve detection of immobility periods, allowed discriminability as a marker of hypoactive delirium without affecting discriminability based on MAC. Paralleling measures of activity, only NOIM differences between day and night epochs passed statistical thresholds during comparisons between study groups.We also assessed how each activity and immobility measure related to the risk of delirium any time between POD 0 and 5. Table 5 displays the unadjusted ORs of a standard deviation change in each actigraphy variable. Although immobility measures were not related to an increased likelihood of delirium, a reduced risk of this complication (per standard deviation of metric) was only associated with MACDay-Night with LFE (OR 0.53, 95% CI: [0.31–0.91], P = .02) or without LFE (OR 0.53, 95% CI: [0.31–0.91], P = .02). When these estimates were adjusted for age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and ICU admission, however, neither passed significance testing (Table S2 in the supplemental material). Thus, the differential of day and night activity may only have modest value as an indicator of delirium risk in the postoperative period.Table 5 Univariate classification odds ratio for one standard deviation change in the respective actigraphy variable for the presence of delirium during the interval from POD 0–5.Table 5 Univariate classification odds ratio for one standard deviation change in the respective actigraphy variable for the presence of delirium during the interval from POD 0–5.Last, multivariable regression models were constructed to assess whether combinations of the top three performing metrics provided additional discriminability beyond the poorly predictive measures that would not survive multiple comparisons corrections. These models were adjusted for covariates of age, ICU admission, and medical comorbidities. The actigraphy measures most strongly predictive of delirium during POD 0–5 included NOIMNight with LFE, NOIMNight-Day with LFE, and MACDay-Night with LFE. When considered together, a C-statistic for the combined measures was only 0.67 (95% CI: [0.56–0.77]. A 90% increase in odds of delirium would be predicted by 1-unit change in the weighted versions of these three metrics (unadjusted OR: 1.9, 95% CI: [1.2–3.4]), but did not survive significance testing when adjusted for covariates (adjusted OR 1.7 [1.0–3.0] P = .09, likelihood ratio test). Thus, even combinations of actigraphy measures perform poorly at discriminating individuals with delirium against those without this complication during POD 0–5.DISCUSSIONSummary of FindingsWe explored actigraphy metrics as concurrent or predictive markers for altered sleep/wakefulness patterns in the context
Referência(s)