A new multivariable grey prediction model with structure compatibility
2019; Elsevier BV; Volume: 75; Linguagem: Inglês
10.1016/j.apm.2019.05.044
ISSN1872-8480
AutoresBo Zeng, Huiming Duan, Yufeng Zhou,
Tópico(s)Extenics and Innovation Methods
ResumoA new multivariable grey prediction model was proposed by adding a dependent variable lag term, a linear correction term and a random disturbance term to the traditional GM(1,N) model. It was theoretically proved that the new model can be completely compatible with the mainstream single variable and multivariable grey prediction models by adjusting and changing the model's parameters. To test the performance of the new model, three case studies were performed. The simulation and prediction results of the new model were compared with those of other grey prediction models. Results showed that the new model had evidently superior performance to other grey models, which confirms that the structure design of the new model is more reasonable than those of the other existing grey prediction models.
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