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PROBABILISTIC MODEL FOR AIRPORT RUNWAY SAFETY AREAS

2017; Silesian University of Technology; Volume: 12; Issue: 2 Linguagem: Inglês

10.20858/tp.2017.12.2.9

2300-861X

Stanislav Szabó, Peter Vittek, Jakub Kraus, Vladimír Plos, Andrej Lališ, Marek Štumper, Iveta Vajdová,

The Laboratory of Aviation Safety and Security at CTU in Prague has recently started a project aimed at runway protection zones.The probability of exceeding by a certain distance from the runway in common incident/accident scenarios (takeoff/landing overrun/veer-off, landing undershoot) is being identified relative to the runway for any airport.As a result, the size and position of safety areas around runways are defined for the chosen probability.The basis for probability calculation is a probabilistic model using statistics from more than 1400 real-world cases where jet airplanes have been involved over the last few decades.Other scientific studies have contributed to understanding the issue and supported the model's application to different conditions.