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Informational - entropic Analysis of Dynamics of Road Safety Orderliness

2019; IOP Publishing; Volume: 582; Issue: 1 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1088/1757-899x/582/1/012021

1757-899X

Artur Petrov, S. A. Evtyukov, Victor Kolesov, Daria Petrova,

Transportation Systems and Logistics

Abstract The article considers issues of identification of all-Russian and regional (on the example of Kemerovo region) road safety provision (RSP) systems orderliness. Research presents methods of identification of road safety provision system orderliness. The main idea of this methodic is the calculation of relative entropy of formation process of final result of cause-effect chain «Population – The number of vehicles – The number of road accidents – The number of victims – The number of deaths in road accidents» performance. Statistics of road accident rate during 2004…2018 was analyzed for the calculation of relative entropy. The result of research concludes that the level or road safety provision system increases in Russia generally and Kemerovo region specifically. Meanwhile the development of this process in Kemerovo region lags relatively to all-Russian one.