Portal de Periódicos da CAPES

Understanding and managing connected extreme events

2020; Nature Portfolio; Volume: 10; Issue: 7 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1038/s41558-020-0790-4

1758-6798

Colin Raymond, Radley Horton, Jakob Zscheischler, Olivia Martius, Amir AghaKouchak, Jennifer K. Balch, Steven G. Bowen, Suzana J. Camargo, Jeremy Hess, Kai Kornhuber, Michael Oppenheimer, Alex C. Ruane, Thomas Wahl, Kathleen D. White,

Climate Change and Health Impacts

Extreme weather and climate events and their impacts can occur in complex combinations, an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations, governance, markets and other decision-making structures—together with population exposure and vulnerability—create nonphysical interconnections among events by linking their impacts, to positive or negative effect. Various anthropogenic actions can also directly affect the severity of events, further complicating these feedback loops. Such relationships are rarely characterized or considered in physical-sciences-based research contexts. Here, we present a multidisciplinary argument for the concept of connected extreme events, and we suggest vantage points and approaches for producing climate information useful in guiding decisions about them. The impacts of extreme weather and climate can be amplified by physical interactions among events and across a complex set of societal factors. This Perspective discusses the concept and challenge of connected extreme events, exploring research approaches and decision-making strategies.