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General guidelines for statistically sound and risk‐based surveys of plant pests

2020; European Food Safety Authority; Volume: 17; Issue: 9 Linguagem: Inglês

10.2903/sp.efsa.2020.en-1919

2397-8325

Elena Lázaro, Stephen Parnell, Antonio Vicent Civera, J. Schans, Martijn Schenk, José Cortiñas Abrahantes, Gabriele Zancanaro, Sybren Vos,

Plant Pathogens and Resistance

EFSA Supporting PublicationsVolume 17, Issue 9 1919E Technical reportOpen Access General guidelines for statistically sound and risk-based surveys of plant pests European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Corresponding Author European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) ALPHA@efsa.europa.eu Correspondence: ALPHA@efsa.europa.euSearch for more papers by this authorElena Lázaro, Elena LázaroSearch for more papers by this authorStephen Parnell, Stephen ParnellSearch for more papers by this authorAntonio Vicent Civera, Antonio Vicent CiveraSearch for more papers by this authorJan Schans, Jan SchansSearch for more papers by this authorMartijn Schenk, Martijn SchenkSearch for more papers by this authorJose Cortiñas Abrahantes, Jose Cortiñas AbrahantesSearch for more papers by this authorGabriele Zancanaro, Gabriele ZancanaroSearch for more papers by this authorSybren Vos, Sybren VosSearch for more papers by this author European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Corresponding Author European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) ALPHA@efsa.europa.eu Correspondence: ALPHA@efsa.europa.euSearch for more papers by this authorElena Lázaro, Elena LázaroSearch for more papers by this authorStephen Parnell, Stephen ParnellSearch for more papers by this authorAntonio Vicent Civera, Antonio Vicent CiveraSearch for more papers by this authorJan Schans, Jan SchansSearch for more papers by this authorMartijn Schenk, Martijn SchenkSearch for more papers by this authorJose Cortiñas Abrahantes, Jose Cortiñas AbrahantesSearch for more papers by this authorGabriele Zancanaro, Gabriele ZancanaroSearch for more papers by this authorSybren Vos, Sybren VosSearch for more papers by this author First published: 08 September 2020 https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2020.EN-1919Citations: 2 Requestor:Directorate-General for Health and Food Safety,European Commission Question number:EFSA-Q-2019-00286 AboutPDF ToolsExport citationAdd to favoritesTrack citation ShareShare Give accessShare full text accessShare full-text accessPlease review our Terms and Conditions of Use and check box below to share full-text version of article.I have read and accept the Wiley Online Library Terms and Conditions of UseShareable LinkUse the link below to share a full-text version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Learn more.Copy URL Share a linkShare onFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditWechat Abstract At the request of the European Commission, EFSA prepared the general guidelines for surveys of plant pests, describing the legal, international and scientific context in which the surveys are designed, the basic principles implemented for surveillance of quarantine pests and introducing the concepts needed for the design of statistically sound and risk-based surveys. Three types of specific surveys are addressed: detection surveys for substantiation of pest freedom, delimiting surveys for determining the boundaries of an infested zone, and monitoring surveys for prevalence estimation when measuring the progress of eradication measures or for confirming a low pest prevalence area. For each survey, the survey parameters are introduced and their interactions analysed showing the importance of the assumptions that are taken for each one of them: (i) the aims of the survey are defined as the confidence of detectinga given pest prevalence(design prevalence), this reflects the trade-off between the acceptable level of the risk and availability of resources that determine the strength of the evidence to support the conclusion of the survey;(ii) the target populationis addressed in terms of its structure and size,including the risk factors;and (iii) the method sensitivityis defined as the combination of the sampling effectiveness and the diagnostic sensitivity. EFSA's RiBESS+ tool is introduced for calculating the sample size using the survey parameters as input values for a statistically sound and risk-based survey design. The mathematical principles behind the tool are in line with the International Standards for Phytosanitary Measures. 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