Acute COVID-19 and the Incidence of Ischemic Stroke and Acute Myocardial Infarction
2020; Lippincott Williams & Wilkins; Volume: 142; Issue: 21 Linguagem: Inglês
10.1161/circulationaha.120.050809
ISSN1524-4539
AutoresDaniel Modin, Brian Claggett, Caroline Sindet‐Pedersen, Mats Christian Højbjerg Lassen, Kristoffer Grundtvig Skaarup, Jens‐Ulrik Stæhr Jensen, Michael Fralick, Morten Schou, Morten Lamberts, Thomas A. Gerds, Emil Loldrup Fosbøl, Matthew Phelps, Kristian Kragholm, Mikkel Porsborg Andersen, Lars Køber, Christian Torp‐Pedersen, Scott D. Solomon, Gunnar Gislason, Tor Biering‐Sørensen,
Tópico(s)COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
ResumoHomeCirculationVol. 142, No. 21Acute COVID-19 and the Incidence of Ischemic Stroke and Acute Myocardial Infarction Free AccessLetterPDF/EPUBAboutView PDFView EPUBSections ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload citationsTrack citationsPermissions ShareShare onFacebookTwitterLinked InMendeleyReddit Jump toFree AccessLetterPDF/EPUBAcute COVID-19 and the Incidence of Ischemic Stroke and Acute Myocardial Infarction Daniel Modin, Brian Claggett, Caroline Sindet-Pedersen, Mats Christian Højbjerg Lassen, Kristoffer Grundtvig Skaarup, Jens Ulrik Stæhr Jensen, Michael Fralick, Morten Schou, Morten Lamberts, Thomas Gerds, Emil Loldrup Fosbøl, Matthew Phelps, Kristian Hay Kragholm, Mikkel Porsborg Andersen, Lars Køber, Christian Torp-Pedersen, Scott D. Solomon, Gunnar Gislason and Tor Biering-Sørensen Daniel ModinDaniel Modin Daniel Modin, MB, Cardiovascular Non-Invasive Imaging Research Laboratory, Department of Cardiology, Herlev & Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen,Niels Andersens vej 65, 2900 Hellerup, Denmark. Email E-mail Address: [email protected] Department of Cardiology (D.M., C.S.-P., M.C.H.L., K.G.S., M.S., M.L., G.G., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Brian ClaggettBrian Claggett Department of Medicine, Cardiovascular Medicine Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (B.C., S.D.S.). , Caroline Sindet-PedersenCaroline Sindet-Pedersen https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9130-3506 Department of Cardiology (D.M., C.S.-P., M.C.H.L., K.G.S., M.S., M.L., G.G., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Mats Christian Højbjerg LassenMats Christian Højbjerg Lassen https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-582X Department of Cardiology (D.M., C.S.-P., M.C.H.L., K.G.S., M.S., M.L., G.G., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Kristoffer Grundtvig SkaarupKristoffer Grundtvig Skaarup https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2690-7511 Department of Cardiology (D.M., C.S.-P., M.C.H.L., K.G.S., M.S., M.L., G.G., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Jens Ulrik Stæhr JensenJens Ulrik Stæhr Jensen https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4036-0521 Respiratory Medicine Section, Department of Internal Medicine (J.U.S.J.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. Herlev & Gentofte Hospital, and Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences (J.U.S.J., M.S., L.K., G.G.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Michael FralickMichael Fralick Sinai Health System and the Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Canada (M.F.). , Morten SchouMorten Schou Department of Cardiology (D.M., C.S.-P., M.C.H.L., K.G.S., M.S., M.L., G.G., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. Herlev & Gentofte Hospital, and Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences (J.U.S.J., M.S., L.K., G.G.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Morten LambertsMorten Lamberts Department of Cardiology (D.M., C.S.-P., M.C.H.L., K.G.S., M.S., M.L., G.G., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Thomas GerdsThomas Gerds Department of Biostatistics (T.G.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Emil Loldrup FosbølEmil Loldrup Fosbøl Department of Cardiology, Rigshospitalet (E.L.F., L.K.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Matthew PhelpsMatthew Phelps The Danish Heart Foundation, Copenhagen, Denmark (M.P.). , Kristian Hay KragholmKristian Hay Kragholm Unit of Clinical Biostatistics and Epidemiology (K.H.K.), Aalborg University Hospital, Denmark. Department of Cardiology (K.H.K.), Aalborg University Hospital, Denmark. , Mikkel Porsborg AndersenMikkel Porsborg Andersen https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6162-5205 Department of Clinical Research, Nordsjaellands Hospital, Hillerød, Denmark (M.P.A., C.T.-P.). , Lars KøberLars Køber Herlev & Gentofte Hospital, and Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences (J.U.S.J., M.S., L.K., G.G.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. Department of Cardiology, Rigshospitalet (E.L.F., L.K.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. , Christian Torp-PedersenChristian Torp-Pedersen Department of Clinical Research, Nordsjaellands Hospital, Hillerød, Denmark (M.P.A., C.T.-P.). , Scott D. SolomonScott D. Solomon Department of Medicine, Cardiovascular Medicine Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (B.C., S.D.S.). , Gunnar GislasonGunnar Gislason Department of Cardiology (D.M., C.S.-P., M.C.H.L., K.G.S., M.S., M.L., G.G., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. Herlev & Gentofte Hospital, and Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences (J.U.S.J., M.S., L.K., G.G.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. and Tor Biering-SørensenTor Biering-Sørensen Department of Cardiology (D.M., C.S.-P., M.C.H.L., K.G.S., M.S., M.L., G.G., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. Department of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences (T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark. Originally published15 Oct 2020https://doi.org/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.120.050809Circulation. 2020;142:2080–2082Other version(s) of this articleYou are viewing the most recent version of this article. Previous versions: October 15, 2020: Ahead of Print Recent studies have linked coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and acute myocardial infarction (AMI).1,2 However, the evidence base is small and current data are limited mainly to case reports and 2 cohort studies.1–4 Therefore, in a nationwide register-based study considering all patients diagnosed with COVID-19 at Danish hospitals, we assessed the association between COVID-19 infection and the risk of ischemic stroke and AMI during the acute phase of infection using the self-controlled case series method.5We used Danish nationwide registers to identify all patients diagnosed at Danish hospitals with a positive test for COVID-19 infection up to July 16, 2020 (International Classification of Diseases–10 codes: B342, B342A, B972, B972A). From this population, we identified all patients who were admitted to the hospital with either a primary or secondary diagnosis of first-ever ischemic stroke (International Classification of Diseases–10 codes: I63 through I66) or first-ever AMI (International Classification of Diseases–10 code: I21) up to 180 days before COVID-19 diagnosis and until the end of available data (July 16, 2020). If a patient experienced >1 outcome during the observation period, only the first was considered. We based our statistical analysis on the self-controlled case series design.5 This design is ideal for assessing the effect of transient exposures such as infections, because each patient acts as his or her own control. Consequently, all confounders, even if unmeasured, are natively controlled for as long as they do not vary within the observation period.5 We defined the risk interval as the 14 days after the date of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis. The control interval was defined as up to 180 days before COVID-19 diagnosis and until the end of available data (July 16, 2020), excluding the risk interval. The date of COVID-19 diagnosis was used as the index date for defining the exposure. The relative incidence of AMI and ischemic stroke associated with the risk interval was calculated using a conditional Poisson regression model comparing the incidence within the risk interval with the incidence in the control interval.5 We conducted several sensitivity analyses to ascertain the robustness of our results, including controlling for calendar time in 3-month bands, varying the risk interval, varying the control interval, introducing preexposure periods, and restricting the analysis to only consider the time period after the first case of confirmed COVID-19 infection was diagnosed in Denmark (February 27, 2020; Table). According to Danish law, purely register-based studies do not require informed consent or approval by an ethics review board. The data used for this study are governed by The Danish Health Data Authority and Statistics Denmark and cannot be made available on request by the authors. Access to the data may only be provided through direct submission of a formal request to these agencies.Table 1. Incidence Ratios for Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) and Ischemic Stroke After COVID-19 DiagnosisIschemic stroke (44 patients)AMI (17 patients)Incidence ratio (95% CI)P valueIncidence ratio (95% CI)P valuePrimary analysis, risk interval days 1 through 1412.9 (7.1–23.5)<0.0015.9 (1.9–18.2)0.002Sensitivity analyses Risk interval days 1 through 2110.1 (5.6–18.2)<0.0013.9 (1.3–11.8)0.018 Risk interval 1 month (days 1 through 31)6.6 (3.6–11.9)<0.0013.4 (1.2–9.7)0.021 Controlled for calendar month*8.7 (4.7–16.2)<0.0014.7 (1.5–15.4)0.010 Preexposure period (7 days)†14.2 (7.7–26.3)<0.0016.3 (2.0–19.4)0.001 Preexposure period (14 days)†14.4 (7.7–26.9)<0.0016.7 (2.1–20.9)0.001 Control interval limited to 3 months before exposure10.0 (5.3–18.6)<0.0014.7 (1.5–14.7)0.008 Control interval limited to 6 weeks before exposure7.9 (4.2–14.9)<0.0014.9 (1.5–16.2)0.010 Control interval limited to postexposure time13.3 (5.7–30.7)<0.00115.1 (2.8–82.4)0.002 Control interval limited to preexposure time12.8 (6.7–24.6)<0.0014.6 (1.5–14.6)0.008 Control interval starting on February 27, 2020‡ (date of first confirmed COVID-19 case in Denmark)8.1 (4.3–15.3)<0.0015.1 (1.5–17.6)0.009COVID-19 indicates coronavirus disease 2019.* Using calendar month as underlying time scale with adjustment in 3-month bands.† A preexposure period is a segment of the observation time immediately preceding the index date, which is excluded from the control interval.‡ Using calendar time as underlying time scale, the observation period was defined as starting from February 27, 2020 (the date of the first confirmed COVID-19 case in Denmark) up until end of available data on July 16, 2020.A total of 5119 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 at Danish hospitals were identified. A total of 1945 patients (38%) had received an inpatient diagnosis of COVID-19; 3174 (62%) had received an outpatient diagnosis. Among this population, 44 patients had first-ever ischemic stroke during the observation period. The mean age of the study population was 77 years (SD 9) and 52% were male. A total of 6 patients had diabetes (15%), 20 had hypertension (45%), and 15 had dyslipidemia (34%). Eleven patients had an outpatient diagnosis of COVID-19 (25%); 33 patients received an inpatient diagnosis of COVID-19 (75%). A total of 18 strokes occurred during the 14-day risk interval. The incidence of ischemic stroke was ≈10 times higher during the 14 days after COVID-19 diagnosis (Table) as compared with the control interval. The incidence of ischemic stroke remained statistically significantly elevated when the risk interval was extended to 21 and 31 days after COVID-19 diagnosis (Table). The results remained robust in all sensitivity analyses (Table).Of the 5119 patients diagnosed with COVID-19, 17 patients had first-ever AMI during the observation period. The mean age of the population was 73 years (SD 13), and 53% were male. Fewer than 4 patients had diabetes, 11 patients had dyslipidemia (65%), and <4 patients had hypertension. The majority of patients had an inpatient diagnosis of COVID-19, and <4 patients had an outpatient diagnosis. A total of 4 AMIs occurred during the risk interval. The incidence of AMI was ≈5 times higher during the 14 days after COVID-19 diagnosis (Table) as compared with the control interval. When the risk interval was extended to 21 days and 31 days after COVID-19 diagnosis, the incidence of AMI remained statistically significantly elevated as compared with the control interval (Table). The results were robust throughout all sensitivity analyses (Table).Our findings extend those of previous reports1–4 and provide evidence that COVID-19 may increase the risk of ischemic cardiovascular events. Similar to other acute infections, the underlying mechanisms may include cytokine-mediated plaque destabilization and hypercoagulability. Our study is limited by the low number of cases, which is likely the result of the low burden of infection observed in Denmark during the study period.DisclosuresNone.Footnoteshttps://www.ahajournals.org/journal/circDaniel Modin, MB, Cardiovascular Non-Invasive Imaging Research Laboratory, Department of Cardiology, Herlev & Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen,Niels Andersens vej 65, 2900 Hellerup, Denmark. Email Danielmodin.md@gmail.comReferences1. 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Bilaloglu S, Aphinyanaphongs Y, Jones S, Iturrate E, Hochman J, Berger JS.Thrombosis in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in a New York City health system.JAMA. 2020; 324:799–801. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.13372CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar5. Whitaker HJ, Farrington CP, Spiessens B, Musonda P.Tutorial in biostatistics: the self-controlled case series method.Stat Med. 2006; 25:1768–1797. doi: 10.1002/sim.2302CrossrefMedlineGoogle Scholar eLetters(0)eLetters should relate to an article recently published in the journal and are not a forum for providing unpublished data. Comments are reviewed for appropriate use of tone and language. Comments are not peer-reviewed. Acceptable comments are posted to the journal website only. Comments are not published in an issue and are not indexed in PubMed. Comments should be no longer than 500 words and will only be posted online. References are limited to 10. 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