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Covid-19 forecasting in Morocco using FBprophet Facebook's Framework in Python

2020; The World Academy of Research in Science and Engineering; Volume: 9; Issue: 5 Linguagem: Inglês

10.30534/ijatcse/2020/251952020

2278-3091

Tarik Chafiq, Mohammed Ouadoud, Khadija Elboukhari, Sidi Mohamed, Ben Abdellah,

Data Mining and Machine Learning Applications

Coronavirus Disease COVID-19 is a virus identified as the cause of an outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome detected first in Wuhan, China, On 31 December 2019.It has already taken a pandemic form, affecting over 200 countries in a few months.On March 3rd, 2020, the Moroccan Minister of Health announced the first case of coronavirus on March 2nd in Morocco, which was a Moroccan citizen who was returning from a trip to Italy.Then the pandemic spread has grown exponentially with more than 100,000 confirmed cases as of September 23th, 2020.After the partial lifting of containment in Morocco, the number of new cases reported daily is rising day by day.This study gives an indication of forecasting the spread of COVID-19 in the coming 4 months by Facebook Framework (FBprophet) using in python.This might be helpful for decision-makers and health authorities to evaluate risks and take proper precautions and strategies to minimize the spread of infectious diseases.