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Surge and Mortality in ICUs in New York City’s Public Healthcare System

2021; Lippincott Williams & Wilkins; Volume: 49; Issue: 9 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1097/ccm.0000000000004972

1530-0293

Alexander T. Toth, Kathleen Tatem, Nicole Hosseinipour, Taylor Wong, Remle Newton-Dame, Gabriel Cohen, Annie George, T Sessa, Radu Postelnicu, Amit Uppal, Nichola J. Davis, Vikramjit Mukherjee,

Medical Coding and Health Information

To evaluate the impact of ICU surge on mortality and to explore clinical and sociodemographic predictors of mortality.Retrospective cohort analysis.NYC Health + Hospitals ICUs.Adult ICU patients with coronavirus disease 2019 admitted between March 24, and May 12, 2020.None.Hospitals reported surge levels daily. Uni- and multivariable analyses were conducted to assess factors impacting in-hospital mortality. Mortality in Hispanic patients was higher for high/very high surge compared with low/medium surge (69.6% vs 56.4%; p = 0.0011). Patients 65 years old and older had similar mortality across surge levels. Mortality decreased from high/very high surge to low/medium surge in, patients 18-44 years old and 45-64 (18-44 yr: 46.4% vs 27.3%; p = 0.0017 and 45-64 yr: 64.9% vs 53.2%; p = 0.002), and for medium, high, and very high poverty neighborhoods (medium: 69.5% vs 60.7%; p = 0.019 and high: 71.2% vs 59.7%; p = 0.0078 and very high: 66.6% vs 50.7%; p = 0.0003). In the multivariable model high surge (high/very high vs low/medium odds ratio, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.2-1.8), race/ethnicity (Black vs White odds ratio, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.0 and Asian vs White odds ratio 1.5; 95% CI, 1.0-2.3; other vs White odds ratio 1.5, 95% CI, 1.0-2.3), age (45-64 vs 18-44 odds ratio, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.6-2.5 and 65-74 vs 18-44 odds ratio, 5.1; 95% CI, 3.3-8.0 and 75+ vs 18-44 odds ratio, 6.8; 95% CI, 4.7-10.1), payer type (uninsured vs commercial/other odds ratio, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.3; medicaid vs commercial/other odds ratio, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5), neighborhood poverty (medium vs low odds ratio 1.6, 95% CI, 1.0-2.4 and high vs low odds ratio, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3-2.5), comorbidities (diabetes odds ratio, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.0 and asthma odds ratio, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.8 and heart disease odds ratio, 2.5; 95% CI, 2.0-3.3), and interventions (mechanical ventilation odds ratio, 8.8; 95% CI, 6.1-12.9 and dialysis odds ratio, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.9-4.7) were significant predictors for mortality.Patients admitted to ICUs with higher surge scores were at greater risk of death. Impact of surge levels on mortality varied across sociodemographic groups.