Produção Nacional
Revisado por pares
The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change
2021; Nature Portfolio; Volume: 11; Issue: 6 Linguagem: Inglês
10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x
ISSN1758-6798
AutoresAna M. Vicedo‐Cabrera, Noah Scovronick, Francesco Sera, Dominic Royé, Rochelle Schneider, Aurelio Tobı́as, Christofer Åström, Yuming Guo, Yasushi Honda, David M. Hondula, Rosana Abrutzky, Shilu Tong, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho, Paulo Hilário Nascimento Saldiva, Éric Lavigne, Patricia Matus Correa, Nicolás Valdés Ortega, Haidong Kan, Samuel Osorio, Jan Kyselý, Aleš Urban, Hans Orru, Ene Indermitte, Jouni J. K. Jaakkola, Niilo Ryti, Mathilde Pascal, Alexandra Schneider, Klea Katsouyanni, Evangelia Samoli, Fatemeh Mayvaneh, Alireza Entezari, Patrick Goodman, Ariana Zeka, Paola Michelozzi, Francesca de’Donato, Masahiro Hashizume, Barrak Alahmad, Magali Hurtado‐Díaz, César De la Cruz Valencia, Ala Overcenco, Danny Houthuijs, Caroline Ameling, Shilpa Rao, Francesco Di Ruscio, Gabriel Carrasco-Escobar, Xerxes Seposo, Susana Pereira Silva, Joana Madureira, Iulian‐Horia Holobâcă, Simona Fratianni, Fiorella Acquaotta, Ho Kim, Whanhee Lee, Carmen Íñiguez, Bertil Forsberg, Martina S. Ragettli, Yue Leon Guo, Bing-yu Chen, Shanshan Li, Ben Armstrong, Alicia V Aleman, Antonella Zanobetti, Joel Schwartz, Trần Ngọc Đăng, Do Van Dung, Nathan P. Gillett, Andy Haines, Matthias Mengel, Veronika Huber, Antonio Gasparrini,
Tópico(s)Global Health Care Issues
ResumoClimate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991–2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5–76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change. Current and future climate change is expected to impact human health, both indirectly and directly, through increasing temperatures. Climate change has already had an impact and is responsible for 37% of warm-season heat-related deaths between 1991 and 2018, with increases in mortality observed globally.
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