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RF‐LSTM‐based method for prediction and diagnosis of fouling in heat exchanger

2021; Wiley; Volume: 16; Issue: 5 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1002/apj.2684

1932-2143

Resma Madhu Paruthipulli Kalarikkal, S. Jayalalitha, Kannan Krithivasan,

Neural Networks and Applications

Abstract Fouling degrades the thermal and hydraulic performances of the heat exchanger (HE), leading to failure if undetected. It occurs due to the accumulation of undesired material on the heat transfer surface. Knowledge about the HE fouling dynamics is required to plan mitigation strategies, ensuring a sustainable and safe operation. This paper aims to propose a feature‐based technique to predict the fouling status of the HE based on historical data. Three thermal and two hydraulic features are extracted from the HE. Random forest (RF) is employed to detect the dominant features using the Gini index. These dominant features are used to predict the fouling resistance using a deep neural network based on the Long Short‐Term Memory (LSTM) model. Also, these dominant features provide reliable inferences to reason out the fouling dynamics. A diagnostic flag is derived based on the dominant feature and is used to diagnose the ongoing fouling phenomena, which is vital to formulate mitigation. The proposed technique is investigated on the data acquired from the HEs used in a thermal power plant (Case 1) and petroleum refinery (Case 2). Prediction accuracy of 99% and 97% is observed for Cases 1 and 2, respectively. Experimental results illustrate that RF enables the LSTM to achieve faster training and reliable prediction of fouling.