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Monte Carlo Analysis-Based CapEx Uncertainty Estimation of New Technologies: The Case of Photochemical Lamps

2021; American Chemical Society; Volume: 25; Issue: 10 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1021/acs.oprd.1c00245

1520-586X

Levente L. Simon, Michael Dieckmann, Alan Robinson, Thomas Vent‐Schmidt, Dominique Marantelli, Ralf Kohlbrenner, Alexandre Saint‐Dizier, Denis V. Gribkov, Jean‐Philippe Krieger,

Analytical Chemistry and Chromatography

The purpose of this paper is twofold: it presents recent innovation activities related to the implementation of LED-based photochemical reaction technology at kilolab (20 L) and production (1000 L) scales at Syngenta Crop Protection AG in Münchwilen, Switzerland, and investigates the capital expenditure (CapEx) uncertainty estimation of photochemical lamps using Monte Carlo analysis. It was found that for the reaction system considered in this paper, depending on the photon rate measurement method—actinometry or radiometry—the CapEx uncertainty is expected to be within 15–30% at two standard deviations.