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The burden of Noncommunicable Diseases in Portuguese Language Countries

2023; ASSOCIAÇÃO BRASILEIRA DE SAÚDE COLETIVA; Volume: 28; Issue: 5 Linguagem: Inglês

10.1590/1413-81232023285.11622022en

1678-4561

Déborah Carvalho Malta, Crizian Saar Gomes, Guilherme Augusto Veloso, Juliana Bottoni de Souza, Patrícia Pereira Vasconcelos de Oliveira, Albano Vicente Lopes Ferreira, Mohsen Nagavi, Paulo Ferrinho, Paula Carvalho de Freitas, Antônio Luiz Pinho Ribeiro,

Climate Change and Health Impacts

Abstract The present study analyzed trends in premature mortality from Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) between 1990 and 2019, the projections up to 2030, and the risk factors (RFs) attributable to these diseases in the Community of Portuguese Language Countries (CPLP). Estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study and the analysis of the burden of premature mortality due to NCDs were used for nine CPLP countries, applying age-standardized rates, using RStudio. Portugal, Brazil, Equatorial Guinea, Angola, and Guinea Bissau showed declining premature mortality rates caused by NCDs, while East Timor, Cape Verde, São Tomé and Príncipe, and Mozambique showed an increase in rates. Projections indicate that none of the countries is expected to achieve the goals of reducing premature mortality due to NCDs by one third by 2030. The attributable burden of disease showed that the most important RFs in 2019 were: high systolic blood pressure (SBP), tobacco, dietary risks, high body mass index (BMI), and air pollution. It can therefore be concluded that there are profound differences in the burden of NCDs among the countries, with better results in Portugal and Brazil, and that no CPLP country is likely to reach the NCD reduction target by 2030.